sharpside
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Traders/Rank #6,078

0xe00…7849

0xe00…7849
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsCultureCryptoSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,175vol $54.2k
PnL 30d−$57gains $16 · losses $63
PnL 7d−$38win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate77.8%adj 75.1% · 30d 40.0%
Open value$4,723cash n/a
Positions220 / 408open / all-time
Max drawdown−40.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 12d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,435below peak −$157Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale44
Adjusted win rateraw 77.8% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d59
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity60

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?No40476.9¢89¢$360+$49$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No31769¢85.5¢$271+$52$0
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?No28468¢88¢$250+$57$0
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp?No24665.4¢91¢$223+$63$0
Will BP be acquired before 2027?No22082¢95.6¢$210+$30$0
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026?No21148.2¢93.5¢$197+$96$0
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?No21844¢90¢$196+$100+$28
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No34038.8¢53.5¢$182+$50+$205
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes34049.2¢46.5¢$158−$9.32$0
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes30544.5¢46.5¢$142+$6.24$0
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?No15086.7¢91.9¢$138+$7.73$0
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No12577.5¢97.7¢$122+$25$0
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?No11883¢94.5¢$112+$14$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-09 House seat?Yes11486¢97¢$111+$13$0
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No13265.1¢80.5¢$106+$20$0
Will Oregon be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?No1020¢89.8¢$92+$92$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes52234¢17.5¢$91−$86$0
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes52531.8¢14.5¢$76−$91−$0.08
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No8273.6¢88.6¢$72+$12$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes33236.5¢21¢$70−$51$0
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No7775.8¢88.5¢$68+$9.75$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes14534¢45.5¢$66+$17$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Palantir Technologies Inc.?No6873.3¢96.2¢$66+$16$0
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No7271¢89.5¢$64+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes9563¢63.5¢$60+$0.48$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-09 House seat?Yes7275¢83.5¢$60+$6.15$0
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Yes12352.8¢48.5¢$60−$5.34$0
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No6673.2¢89.2¢$59+$11$0
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk?Yes7454¢73.5¢$54+$14$0
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?No5085¢98¢$49+$6.52$0
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes7162.2¢6.8¢$49+$33$0
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No9556¢50.5¢$48−$5.21$0
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes14734¢30.5¢$45−$5.15$0
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?No10063¢43.5¢$44−$20$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes5058.5¢87.5¢$43+$14$0
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No4965¢78.5¢$39+$6.65$0
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No5664¢68.5¢$39+$2.52$0
Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No4679.3¢83.5¢$38+$1.89$0
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No4341.6¢80¢$35+$17$0
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes2289.6¢14.5¢$33+$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-07 House seat?Yes3286¢98.1¢$31+$3.87$0
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No3583.5¢89.3¢$31+$2.00$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes4351.5¢71.6¢$31+$8.55$0
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026?No3178.5¢91.5¢$28+$3.98$0
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes2678¢96.8¢$25+$4.81$0
Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No2469¢98.8¢$24+$7.14$0
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez?Yes3946¢57¢$22+$4.30$0
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No2070¢98.2¢$20+$5.64$0
Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes1350¢14.5¢$20+$20$0
Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No7361.6¢26.5¢$19−$26$0
Will BLACKPINK perform at Coachella 2027?No3776.2¢50.5¢$19−$9.57$0
Will Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes12010.4¢15.1¢$18+$5.61$0
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan?Yes3349.9¢54.5¢$18+$1.52$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes14745¢11.5¢$17−$49$0
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes8745.9¢15¢$13−$27$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Yes19723.7¢6.5¢$13−$34$0
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?Yes3957.5¢31¢$12−$10$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes1534¢80.5¢$12+$6.84$0
Will Justin Bieber release an album in 2026?No1843.9¢66.5¢$12+$4.01$0
Will there be between 105m and 110m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?Yes1410.7¢8.1¢$11+$10$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Yes2147.5¢51.7¢$11+$0.88$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No1031¢99¢$9.90+$6.80$0
Will Donald Trump visit Arkansas in 2026?Yes2165¢46¢$9.70−$4.00$0
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No1225¢76¢$9.42+$6.32$0
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes1414¢50.5¢$7.21+$5.21$0
Will the Republican Party win the CA-45 House seat?Yes10011¢7¢$7.00−$4.00$0
Will Christina Koch be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No784¢95.1¢$6.79+$0.79$0
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes4421¢13¢$5.70−$3.50$0
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes10111¢5¢$5.03−$6.03$0
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2131.1¢22.5¢$4.64−$1.76$0
Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes4141.1¢10.5¢$4.35−$13$0
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?No6932.2¢6.2¢$4.22−$18−$5.91
Will Jeff Yan appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes1012.8¢40.2¢$4.18+$2.85$0
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?Yes6024¢5.9¢$3.57−$11$0
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?No438¢85¢$3.40+$1.88$0
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No874¢44.5¢$3.37−$2.24$0
Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?Yes4832.6¢7¢$3.36−$12$0
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes4113¢8¢$3.28−$2.05$0
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?Yes1636.6¢19.5¢$3.17−$2.78$0
Will Rwanda have an Ebola case in 2026?No463¢76¢$3.10+$0.53$0
Will Adam Schiff be arrested before 2027?Yes1006¢3.1¢$3.05−$2.95$0
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes9899.1¢0.3¢$2.47−$87−$39
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?Yes2864.7¢7.5¢$2.10−$16$0
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes3020¢6¢$1.80−$4.20$0
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes7135¢2.3¢$1.60−$23$0
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?Yes2032¢5.5¢$1.10−$5.30$0
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?Yes1314.9¢6.9¢$0.93−$1.07$0
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1012¢8.5¢$0.84−$0.35$0
Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes1204.1¢0.7¢$0.84−$4.02$0
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?Yes3212.7¢2.5¢$0.79−$3.21$0
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?Yes2130.1¢3.2¢$0.65−$5.55$0
Will James Clapper be arrested before 2027?Yes1122¢4.5¢$0.51−$1.99$0
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes5319¢0.8¢$0.39−$9.61$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes1362.6¢2.5¢$0.32−$7.97$0
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes3198.4¢0.1¢$0.16−$27$0
Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes1010¢1.1¢$0.11−$0.92$0
Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1068¢1¢$0.10−$6.70$0
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes2128¢0.4¢$0.08−$5.69$0
Will JJ Wetherholt win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?Yes3811¢0.2¢$0.06−$4.12$0
Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?Yes1645.4¢0.2¢$0.02−$7.24$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET61¢2$1.0078%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?61.3¢7$4.0078%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?61.3¢8$5.0078%66
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?63¢95$6078%66
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57.3¢35$2078%66
BUY YesWill the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?47.5¢21$1078%66
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?34¢15$5.0078%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?51¢20$1078%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?59¢3$2.0078%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?59¢3$2.0078%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?59¢2$1.0078%66
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?49¢6$3.0078%66
SELL PacquiaoFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 242¢9$3.8678%66
BUY PacquiaoFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 249¢9$4.5078%66
BUY MayweatherFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 254¢203$10978%66
BUY MayweatherFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 252¢10$5.3078%66
BUY MayweatherFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 251.9¢203$10578%66
BUY YesWill Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?78¢26$2078%66
BUY YesTom Holland as Spider-Man?52.8¢123$6578%66
BUY YesWill Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?41.1¢41$1778%66