PnL all-time+$2,353vol $177k
PnL 30d−$476gains $0 · losses $4.57
PnL 7d+$1.88win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate56.5%adj 55.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,011cash n/a
Positions6 / 193open / all-time
Max drawdown−19.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,468below peak −$1.79Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
50/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale48
Adjusted win rateraw 56.5% · shrunk toward 50%40
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17? · Noclosed+$463Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Noopen+$369Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-22? · Noclosed+$319Will Portsmouth FC win on 2025-12-06? · Yesclosed+$262Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$254
Worst markets
Will Team Falcons make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final? · Yesclosed−$342Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025? · Yesclosed−$181Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? · Yesclosed−$168Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026? · Noclosed−$152Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAIclosed−$122
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 520 | 29¢ | 100¢ | $520 | +$369 | $0 | |
| Weed rescheduled by December 31? | No | 341 | 59.1¢ | 95.8¢ | $327 | +$125 | −$179 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 133 | 75¢ | 100¢ | $133 | +$33 | $0 | |
| Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | No | 30 | 89¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$3.30 | −$33 | |
| Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? | No | 1 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $1.00 | +$0.21 | +$115 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 23 | 49¢ | 3.3¢ | $0.76 | −$11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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