PnL all-time+$245kvol $2.46M
PnL 30d+$492gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate65.0%adj 63.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$211kcash n/a
Positions4 / 241open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.2%of equity peak
Account age5.0ylast trade 24d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$246kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale77
Adjusted win rateraw 65.0% · shrunk toward 50%59
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d19
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$63.3kWill the government shutdown end November 13? · Yesclosed+$60.1kU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? · Yesclosed+$28.7kWill the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$25.0kWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more? · Yesclosed+$22.0k
Worst markets
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$63.3kWill the government shutdown end November 12? · Yesclosed−$61.3kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$20.4kWill the government shutdown last 5 days or more? · Noclosed−$7,325Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$3,800
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 210k | 50¢ | 80.2¢ | $168k | +$63.3k | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 210k | 50¢ | 19.9¢ | $41.7k | −$63.3k | $0 | |
| Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 895 | 57.6¢ | 94¢ | $841 | +$325 | $0 | |
| Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | No | 433 | 45.6¢ | 93.5¢ | $405 | +$207 | $0 |
Recent trades
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