PnL all-time−$2,282vol $480k
PnL 30d+$229gains $124 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$45win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate77.1%adj 76.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$15.7kcash n/a
Positions10 / 510open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 4h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,607below peak −$2,981Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 77.1% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable90
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yesopen+$397Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22? · Noclosed+$289Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18? · Noclosed+$265XRP Up or Down - December 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Upclosed+$257XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Downclosed+$207
Worst markets
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? · Noclosed−$3,246Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$583Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 January 26-1? · Noclosed−$546Will Solana dip to $100 in January? · Noclosed−$476Nothing Ever Happens: January · Yesclosed−$420
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 5,797 | 90.4¢ | 97.1¢ | $5,629 | +$387 | +$7.40 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | No | 4,306 | 97.7¢ | 97.9¢ | $4,215 | +$8.62 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? | No | 2,234 | 95.3¢ | 96¢ | $2,144 | +$16 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in October? | No | 951 | 98.5¢ | 99¢ | $941 | +$4.28 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 912 | 98.7¢ | 99.1¢ | $904 | +$3.29 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 641 | 98.1¢ | 99.4¢ | $637 | +$8.02 | $0 | |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | 646 | 89.7¢ | 97.1¢ | $627 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 500 | 86¢ | 93.5¢ | $467 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in October? | No | 170 | 97¢ | 97¢ | $165 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? | Yes | 41 | 6.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.50 | −$0.16 |
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