sharpside
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Traders/Rank #10,035

Chocomateo

0xe09…163f
WR 60+SportPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$98vol $129k
PnL 30d−$89gains $527 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$112win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate64.9%adj 61.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,791cash n/a
Positions40 / 97open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 9d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$139below peak −$1,340Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale28
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%53
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d68
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 40

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes9,0106.2¢5.6¢$500−$58$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes90330.4¢28.5¢$257−$18$0
Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?Yes3,4648.9¢6.9¢$239−$70$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,10611.9¢9.2¢$193−$57$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,3483.7¢10.4¢$140+$90$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes62329.8¢20.5¢$128−$58$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes40724.6¢14.2¢$58−$42$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,2412.2¢2.5¢$55+$4.90$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,6673¢3.1¢$52+$1.67$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,7002.7¢2.8¢$47+$0.85$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes2,6671.5¢1.7¢$44+$4.00$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes20724.9¢14¢$29−$22$0
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes10229.4¢17¢$17−$13$0
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes3,1251.6¢0.5¢$17−$33$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes10448¢15.5¢$16−$34$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No25.4k1.1¢0¢$0−$270$0
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes21.7k0.5¢0¢$0−$100−$1.79
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No10.0k0.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes4,8226.1¢0¢$0−$294+$211
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes1,4982¢0¢$0−$30−$0.88
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?Yes1,3042.3¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the Eastern Conference?Yes6244.8¢0¢$0−$30−$0.86
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?No56724.7¢0¢$0−$140−$0.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?Yes41724¢0¢$0−$100−$3.04
Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?Yes33130.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?Yes31112.9¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?Yes25447.2¢0¢$0−$120−$1.89
Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens22935¢0¢$0−$80−$1.56
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?Yes1905.3¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Blackhawks vs. SabresBlackhawks14035.8¢0¢$0−$50−$1.61
Blues vs. AvalancheBlues14036¢0¢$0−$50−$1.07
Blackhawks vs. UtahBlackhawks14036¢0¢$0−$50−$1.61
Oilers vs. CanucksCanucks14036¢0¢$0−$50$0
Golden Knights vs. CanucksCanucks13032¢0¢$0−$42−$1.41
Will gas hit (Low) $3.75 by April 30?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Canadiens vs. HurricanesCanadiens10030¢0¢$0−$30−$0.63
Maple Leafs vs. SenatorsMaple Leafs9432¢0¢$0−$30$0
Jets vs. UtahJets8834¢0¢$0−$30$0
Penguins vs. BluesPenguins8635¢0¢$0−$30$0
Flyers vs. DevilsFlyers7938¢0¢$0−$30−$0.93

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY CanucksGolden Knights vs. Canucks32¢130$4265%36
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House30¢300$9065%36
BUY FlyersFlyers vs. Devils38¢79$3065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?7¢318$2265%36
BUY BluesBlues vs. Avalanche36¢93$3365%36
BUY BlackhawksBlackhawks vs. Sabres35.8¢140$5065%36
BUY BlackhawksBlackhawks vs. Utah36¢140$5065%36
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House29¢103$3065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?9.3¢323$3065%36
BUY CanucksCanucks vs. Oilers27¢222$6065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?10¢1,996$20065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?7¢4$0.2665%36
SELL YesWill Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?86.6¢172$14965%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?7¢140$9.8065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?6.9¢584$4065%36
BUY YesWill Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?6.7¢100$6.7065%36
BUY YesWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2.7¢1,700$4665%36
BUY YesWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?5.8¢30$1.7365%36
SELL YesWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?92¢547$50365%36
BUY YesWill the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?7.6¢105$7.9865%36