sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,779

lug

0xe0d…f44e
WhalePnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$62.4kvol $24.3M
PnL 30d+$20.8kgains $155k · losses $37.1k
PnL 7d−$14.4kwin rate 7d 85.7%
Win rate60.9%adj 60.5% · 30d 81.4%
Open value$170kcash n/a
Positions116 / 4,408open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.9ylast trade 45m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$93.5kbelow peak −$19.6kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale69
Adjusted win rateraw 60.9% · shrunk toward 50%51
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No30.0k92¢90.5¢$27.1k−$450$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No16.8k74.3¢84.5¢$14.2k+$1,711+$3,312
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo15.0k92¢91.5¢$13.7k−$75$0
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes30.0k10.8¢44.5¢$13.3k+$10.1k$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No15.0k80.4¢77.5¢$11.6k−$430$0
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No7,99971.1¢73.5¢$5,879+$189$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes8,47747¢63.5¢$5,383+$1,399+$150
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes7,94952.3¢62.5¢$4,968+$809$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes8,00050.5¢58¢$4,636+$592$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No5,00084¢91.5¢$4,575+$375$0
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?No4,79090.8¢93.7¢$4,488+$139+$84
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No5,92174.9¢74¢$4,381−$51+$16
No one announced as next James Bond?No4,53778.6¢80.6¢$3,654+$86−$415
Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No4,08377.8¢88¢$3,593+$416+$3.42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No5,00058¢71.5¢$3,575+$675−$7.02
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes5,00061.1¢64.5¢$3,225+$170−$10
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes7,00029.4¢42.5¢$2,975+$915$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00090¢91.5¢$2,745+$45$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes3,00066¢83.5¢$2,505+$525$0
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?No2,49490.6¢95.7¢$2,386+$127$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes40.0k4.9¢5.9¢$2,380+$420$0
Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?No2,22091¢97.4¢$2,162+$142+$25
Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes35.0k8¢5.7¢$1,977−$822$0
Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No1,95289.1¢99.9¢$1,949+$209$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,88478¢96.2¢$1,812+$342+$21
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes32.7k15.7¢4.9¢$1,602−$3,515−$61
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No15.7k10.1¢9.5¢$1,495−$93$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?No1,60487.9¢87.5¢$1,404−$5.93$0
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes7,00019¢18.5¢$1,295−$35$0
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No2,00054.6¢48¢$960−$133$0
Will Marianne Alto win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?Yes91291.4¢95.9¢$875+$41$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes3,00034¢25.5¢$765−$255$0
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes97371.9¢76.5¢$745+$45$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes10,0003.8¢7.4¢$735+$355$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes1,00013.3¢71.4¢$714+$581+$5,758
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No3,00068¢23.3¢$697−$1,342$0
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No69691.3¢97.5¢$679+$43+$38
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?No64888.8¢96.8¢$627+$52$0
Will Anne Marie Dryden win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?No64389.4¢96.6¢$621+$46$0
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes86043.1¢67¢$576+$206+$104
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No3,00019¢18.5¢$555−$15$0
Will Leonard Krog win the 2026 Nanaimo mayoral election?Yes54386.8¢92.5¢$503+$31$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes15.0k7¢3.3¢$495−$555$0
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No51190¢94.7¢$484+$24$0
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No51676.4¢90.5¢$467+$73$0
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No49376¢92.5¢$456+$81+$9.30
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes70433¢63.5¢$447+$215$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Yes1,07338.6¢39.5¢$424+$9.76$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes4,00014¢9.5¢$380−$180$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes45173.6¢81.5¢$368+$36$0
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No40780¢79¢$322−$4.07$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes61.8k1¢0.4¢$216−$402$0
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes7,5002.6¢2.9¢$214+$19$0
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No28973¢71.5¢$206−$4.33$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No43051.2¢41.5¢$178−$42−$67
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes22073¢71.5¢$157−$3.30$0
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No17567.6¢80.5¢$141+$22$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes1,17012¢10.5¢$123−$18$0
Will Karen Harper win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?Yes49935.4¢21¢$105−$72$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,0003.5¢3.3¢$97−$7.50$0
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?No10078¢88.5¢$89+$11+$144
Will Trump's approval rating hit 50% in 2026?No5596¢96.8¢$53+$0.42$0
Will Melissa Cseszko win the 2026 Victoria mayoral election?No4891.1¢96.8¢$46+$2.71$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No2554¢54.5¢$13+$0.12$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1571.3¢1.4¢$2.12+$0.08$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes30.0k0.9¢0¢$0−$270$0
Dolphins vs. VikingsDolphins17.5k17¢0¢$0−$2,975$0
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BESTIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group ABESTIA14.3k21¢0¢$0−$3,000−$119
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageNatus Vincere14.0k21¢0¢$0−$2,940−$116
Cardinals vs. 49ersCardinals13.0k23¢0¢$0−$2,990$0
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Acend (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group CAcend12.5k24¢0¢$0−$3,000−$114
Chargers vs. BillsChargers12.0k25¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Jets vs. LionsJets11.0k28¢0¢$0−$3,080$0
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Infinite (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group DInfinite10.3k29¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes10.0k42.9¢0¢$0−$4,292−$6,631
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Eagles10.0k48.6¢0¢$0−$4,860$0
Giants vs. RamsGiants10,00026¢0¢$0−$2,600$0
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsBET-M 339,09133¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Colts vs. CommandersCommanders8,70035¢0¢$0−$3,045$0
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)Imperial8,33336¢0¢$0−$3,000−$34
Jets vs. BearsJets8,20037¢0¢$0−$3,034$0
LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsSolary8,10837¢0¢$0−$3,000−$65
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageShopify Rebellion7,89538¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Back to Back (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBack to Back 7,89541¢0¢$0−$3,237$0
LoL: T1 Academy vs Galions (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational PlayoffsGalions7,31741¢0¢$0−$3,000−$88
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsUnicorns Of Love Sexy Edition7,31741¢0¢$0−$3,000−$47
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Steelers7,10043¢0¢$0−$3,053−$52
Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars7,00043¢0¢$0−$3,010$0
Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Acend (+1.5)Acend6,81843.9¢0¢$0−$2,992−$9.19
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group AMIBR6,81844¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsInner Circle Esports6,66745¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Titans vs. Giants: O/U 38.5Over6,49947.7¢0¢$0−$3,100$0
Lions vs. Panthers: O/U 50.5Under6,39947.8¢0¢$0−$3,058−$29
Spread: Nebraska (-14.5)Maryland6,30048¢0¢$0−$3,024$0
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsCYBERSHOKE Esports6,25048¢0¢$0−$3,000−$1.88
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)Movistar KOI6,12250.2¢0¢$0−$3,072−$6.83
Spread: Alabama (-5.5)Mississippi State6,00050¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Jets vs. Lions: O/U 48.5Under6,00050¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsNongshim Esports Academy6,00050¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Panthers vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5Over6,00049¢0¢$0−$2,940$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoGeorge Pickens: Anytime Touchdown57¢1,201$68561%52
BUY NoCeeDee Lamb: Anytime Touchdown51¢1,195$61061%52
BUY Maryville UniversityGame Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)56¢714$40061%52
BUY NoRyan Flournoy: Anytime Touchdown79.3¢475$37761%52
BUY NoKenny Gainwell: Anytime Touchdown86¢175$15161%52
BUY YesBauer Sharp: Anytime Touchdown2.5¢1,000$2561%52
BUY NoChris Godwin Jr.: Anytime Touchdown83¢99$8361%52
BUY Unicorns Of Love Sexy EditionLoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs41¢3,924$1,60961%52
SELL NoWill Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?47¢1,045$49161%52
SELL NoWill Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?50¢505$25361%52
BUY NoAnother Canada election called by December 31, 2026?95.6¢16$1561%52
BUY NoAnother Canada election called by December 31, 2026?95.6¢30$2961%52
BUY Natus VincereLoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage21¢14.0k$2,94061%52
BUY FalconsFalcons vs. Saints48¢6,000$2,88061%52
BUY Team VitalityGame Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)64¢1,212$77661%52
BUY OverCardinals vs. Giants: O/U 44.548¢6,300$3,02461%52
BUYSpread: Bills (-6.5) AND Spread: Colts (-4.5)27.4¢4$0.9661%52
BUY RamsSpread: Rams (-3.5)50¢6,000$3,00061%52
BUY GiantsSpread: Giants (-1.5)41¢3,061$1,25561%52
BUY PanthersSpread: Lions (-3.5)49¢6,000$2,94061%52