| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,277 | 74.4¢ | 90.5¢ | $8,396 | +$1,489 | +$270 | |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026? | No | 9,180 | 80.1¢ | 91¢ | $8,354 | +$1,002 | +$65 | |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 8,765 | 67.2¢ | 64.5¢ | $5,653 | −$234 | −$91 | |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | 4,588 | 86.7¢ | 94.5¢ | $4,336 | +$356 | +$223 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,726 | 68.5¢ | 86.5¢ | $4,088 | +$851 | +$183 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | No | 4,862 | 84.1¢ | 83.5¢ | $4,060 | −$28 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | 3,800 | 82.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $3,477 | +$342 | +$73 | |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | No | 2,800 | 84.4¢ | 90¢ | $2,520 | +$157 | +$288 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,467 | 77.8¢ | 92¢ | $1,350 | +$208 | +$77 | |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | No | 1,454 | 81.1¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,330 | +$151 | +$134 | |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026? | No | 1,101 | 95.9¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,061 | +$5.96 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,585 | 4.8¢ | 55.6¢ | $881 | +$805 | +$169 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | No | 1,070 | 70.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $840 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | No | 854 | 83.6¢ | 95¢ | $812 | +$98 | +$144 | |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | No | 849 | 71¢ | 89.5¢ | $760 | +$157 | +$69 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 894 | 60.2¢ | 83.5¢ | $746 | +$208 | +$440 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 58¢ | 72.5¢ | $725 | +$145 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | 693 | 68.9¢ | 95.5¢ | $662 | +$185 | +$195 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | No | 600 | 82.5¢ | 97.5¢ | $585 | +$90 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31? | No | 720 | 41.6¢ | 80.5¢ | $579 | +$280 | +$540 | |
| Will Republicans win white voters in the midterms? | Yes | 634 | 80.7¢ | 83.5¢ | $530 | +$18 | −$26 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | No | 1,100 | 26¢ | 33.5¢ | $368 | +$83 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? | No | 458 | 69.7¢ | 78.5¢ | $360 | +$41 | +$73 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | No | 366 | 73.8¢ | 97¢ | $355 | +$85 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | No | 548 | 52.9¢ | 61.5¢ | $337 | +$47 | +$14 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 300 | 79¢ | 99.2¢ | $297 | +$60 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | No | 300 | 70¢ | 93.5¢ | $280 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 300 | 75.4¢ | 89¢ | $267 | +$41 | −$117 | |
| Blue wave in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 83¢ | 86.5¢ | $260 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 276 | 93¢ | 93.5¢ | $258 | +$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 264 | 90.1¢ | 97.6¢ | $258 | +$20 | +$250 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 400 | 62.5¢ | 62.5¢ | $250 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? | No | 297 | 60.7¢ | 75¢ | $223 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | No | 200 | 92.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $193 | +$7.10 | +$28 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 300 | 57¢ | 63.5¢ | $191 | +$20 | +$36 | |
| Will Russia capture Viroliubivka by December 31? | No | 200 | 69¢ | 92.5¢ | $185 | +$47 | $0 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 200 | 73¢ | 91.5¢ | $183 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | No | 200 | 69.5¢ | 91.5¢ | $183 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 200 | 71¢ | 89.5¢ | $179 | +$37 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by December 31? | No | 200 | 71¢ | 88.5¢ | $177 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by December 31, 2026? | No | 204 | 83¢ | 86.5¢ | $176 | +$7.18 | −$4.32 | |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 3,400 | 7.4¢ | 5.1¢ | $172 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | No | 200 | 63.5¢ | 85¢ | $170 | +$43 | $0 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 200 | 39¢ | 82.5¢ | $165 | +$87 | $0 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by December 31? | No | 165 | 90.1¢ | 95¢ | $157 | +$7.96 | +$13 | |
| Will Republicans win 14–15% of the Black vote? | No | 161 | 87.4¢ | 94.9¢ | $152 | +$12 | +$3.01 | |
| Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026? | No | 148 | 72.6¢ | 99.4¢ | $147 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win 18% or more of the Black vote? | No | 141 | 94¢ | 94.3¢ | $133 | +$0.42 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 56¢ | 65¢ | $130 | +$18 | +$39 | |
| Will Republicans win 12–13% of the Black vote? | No | 159 | 85.9¢ | 81.5¢ | $129 | −$6.96 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | No | 136 | 92.2¢ | 95.1¢ | $129 | +$3.82 | +$28 | |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 112 | 66.2¢ | 91.5¢ | $103 | +$28 | +$127 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 75% by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 82¢ | 34.2¢ | $102 | −$144 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be 1.1T or more? | No | 100 | 93¢ | 98¢ | $98 | +$4.95 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | 100 | 94¢ | 90.9¢ | $91 | −$3.15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026? | No | 429 | 27.6¢ | 20.5¢ | $88 | −$30 | +$8.56 | |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms? | Yes | 103 | 63.2¢ | 80.5¢ | $83 | +$18 | +$33 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 1,635 | 10.4¢ | 4.9¢ | $80 | −$90 | +$120 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T? | No | 77 | 80¢ | 86¢ | $66 | +$4.61 | $0 | |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 277 | 33.4¢ | 19.5¢ | $54 | −$39 | +$46 | |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | Yes | 200 | 16¢ | 24.5¢ | $49 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? | Yes | 140 | 31.7¢ | 28.5¢ | $40 | −$4.50 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win 16–17% of the Black vote? | No | 39 | 90¢ | 93.5¢ | $36 | +$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win less than 8% of the Black vote? | No | 39 | 89¢ | 92¢ | $36 | +$1.17 | −$8.65 | |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote? | Yes | 100 | 27.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $23 | −$4.00 | +$3.63 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T? | No | 24 | 92¢ | 95.6¢ | $23 | +$0.86 | +$4.42 | |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 100 | 94¢ | 21.8¢ | $22 | −$72 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 726 | 87.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $18 | −$620 | −$87 | |
| Will Republicans win 8–9% of the Black vote? | No | 18 | 60¢ | 76.5¢ | $14 | +$3.00 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans win 10–11% of the Black vote? | No | 18 | 60¢ | 71.5¢ | $13 | +$2.09 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 700B and 800B? | Yes | 53 | 8¢ | 21¢ | $11 | +$6.85 | $0 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 11 | 85.5¢ | 97.8¢ | $11 | +$1.37 | +$372 | |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | No | 11 | 85.9¢ | 96.1¢ | $11 | +$1.12 | +$3.10 | |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 17.5¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | −$7.50 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 600B and 700B? | Yes | 92 | 5¢ | 9.9¢ | $9.07 | +$4.47 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | Yes | 26 | 20¢ | 20.5¢ | $5.34 | +$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | No | 4 | 73¢ | 97.7¢ | $3.45 | +$0.87 | −$21 | |
| Will Republicans win white women in the midterms? | Yes | 23 | 28¢ | 15¢ | $3.41 | −$2.96 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 11 | 16¢ | 27.5¢ | $2.95 | +$1.24 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be less than 500B? | Yes | 96 | 4¢ | 2.8¢ | $2.68 | −$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 22¢ | 2.3¢ | $2.30 | −$20 | +$27 | |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 1,058 | 12¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.59 | −$125 | $0 | |
| Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 800B and 900B? | No | 2 | 49¢ | 55¢ | $0.96 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10 | 26¢ | 8¢ | $0.80 | −$1.80 | +$9.60 | |
| Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms? | Yes | 1 | 11¢ | 19.5¢ | $0.27 | +$0.12 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | No | 994 | 51.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$510 | −$1.69 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September? | No | 800 | 47.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$382 | −$1.98 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | No | 400 | 66¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$264 | $0 | |
| Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 276 | 28¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$77 | $0 | |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? | No | 200 | 79¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$158 | $0 | |
| Trump renames AI by December 31? | No | 200 | 38¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$76 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 17 | 17.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.98 | −$45 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | 5 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.05 | $0 | |