sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,977

hfv

0xe10…71df
WeatherOtherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$36.2kvol $2.56M
PnL 30d−$24.9kgains $12.0k · losses $12.7k
PnL 7d−$15.1kwin rate 7d 48.3%
Win rate48.3%adj 48.4% · 30d 48.3%
Open value$19.6kcash n/a
Positions389 / 5,033open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 34m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$37.1kbelow peak −$37.1kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

30/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.3% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No1,20986.5¢86¢$1,040−$6.04−$21
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes73256.8¢66¢$483+$67$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 9?No58383¢76¢$443−$41$0
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on October 9?No84657.7¢50.5¢$427−$61$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 10?No47490¢89¢$421−$4.74$0
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on October 9?No66564¢60.5¢$402−$23$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 8?No39466.9¢100¢$394+$130+$29
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on October 9?No45483.9¢83.5¢$379−$1.96+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 9?No46778.7¢81¢$378+$11+$3.44
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 10?No45086¢82.5¢$372−$16$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 9?No82151.4¢45¢$370−$53$0
Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?No38391¢87.5¢$336−$13−$27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?No52760¢63¢$332+$16$0
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?No35195.2¢88.4¢$310−$24−$0.34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 9?No32787¢88.5¢$289+$4.90$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 10?No38268¢66.5¢$254−$5.73−$3.60
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 9?No31679¢79.5¢$251+$1.58$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?No30086¢83.7¢$251−$6.90−$35
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 9?No28189¢89¢$250$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 9?Yes50539¢47.5¢$240+$43+$0.04
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 10?No53253¢44.5¢$237−$45$0
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 9?No52653¢43.5¢$229−$50$0
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?No32474¢70¢$227−$13$0
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?No32271¢68.5¢$220−$8.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?No26884.5¢81.5¢$218−$7.93$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 9?No28975¢75¢$217+$0.14−$4.14
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 9?No26183¢81.5¢$212−$3.91$0
Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?No30189¢70¢$211−$57$0
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 10?No31769¢66¢$209−$9.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9?No48547¢43¢$209−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?No24283¢78.5¢$190−$11−$81
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?No31664.7¢58¢$183−$21+$1.44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes43793.9¢41.8¢$183−$228−$3.10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on October 9?Yes52640¢34.5¢$182−$29$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 23°C on October 10?No28065¢64¢$179−$2.80$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?No25071¢68.5¢$171−$6.25$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 9?Yes36037¢47¢$169+$36+$9.88
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Yes30192¢55.5¢$167−$110−$4.38
New pandemic before 2028?Yes1,10818¢15¢$166−$33−$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 9?Yes37850¢43.5¢$164−$25$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 9?No19581¢83¢$162+$3.90+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 10?Yes29553¢54.5¢$161+$4.42$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 10?No17688¢90.5¢$159+$4.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9?No29971¢52.5¢$157−$55$0
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 9?Yes94325¢16.5¢$156−$80+$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 9?No22664¢64.5¢$146+$1.13$0
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on October 9?Yes58627.8¢24.5¢$143−$19$0
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No33949.2¢42.4¢$143−$23−$27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 9?No33450.2¢43¢$143−$24$0
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?No15694.1¢85¢$132−$14−$206
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 9?Yes39928.3¢31¢$124+$11+$2.46
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?No13883¢89.5¢$123+$8.94−$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 9?No27571.7¢44¢$121−$76$0
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on October 9?Yes35745¢32¢$114−$46+$5.18
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 10?No19562¢58.5¢$114−$6.82$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% before 2027?Yes30361¢37.5¢$114−$71−$2.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 9?No14573¢77.5¢$113+$6.54$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 9?No15990.3¢66.5¢$106−$38$0
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?No23352.2¢43¢$100−$22$0
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?No15075¢65.5¢$98−$14−$21
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?No9851¢99.9¢$98+$48+$0.67
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No12188¢80.5¢$97−$9.04$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 10?Yes21848¢43.5¢$95−$9.82$0
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 10?No17564¢53.5¢$94−$18$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 9?Yes32032¢28.5¢$91−$11$0
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C or higher on October 9?No10084¢88.5¢$89+$4.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 9?No9983.6¢86.5¢$85+$2.87$0
Will Trump say "Pipeline" during his Midterm Rally in New York?No15069¢56.5¢$85−$19$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9?No17651¢47.5¢$83−$6.15$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 9?No9193¢90.5¢$82−$2.27$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9?No19369.8¢42.5¢$82−$53$0
Will Trump say "Caterpillar" in October?No17975¢44.5¢$79−$54$0
Will Trump say "BMW" in October?No14349¢51.5¢$74+$3.58$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 10?No11962¢60.5¢$72−$1.78$0
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 9?Yes19749¢36.5¢$72−$25+$0.16
Will Solana hit $300 by June 30, 2027?Yes26938¢26.5¢$71−$31$0
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 10?No7892¢90.5¢$71−$1.17$0
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?Yes12091¢57.5¢$69−$40−$47
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on October 8?No6869¢99.8¢$68+$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 9?Yes16741.4¢40.5¢$68−$1.44+$16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?Yes9181¢73¢$66−$7.24−$55
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on October 9?No16847.3¢38.5¢$65−$15$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 10?No7883.2¢81.5¢$64−$1.34$0
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 9?No7188¢87.5¢$62−$0.36$0
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 9?No7085¢81.5¢$57−$2.45$0
Will Trump say "Cake" in October?No10773¢51¢$55−$24$0
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?No13449.4¢39.6¢$53−$13−$19
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 9?No12451¢42.5¢$53−$11$0
Will Tomáš Portlík be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes10951¢47¢$51−$4.37−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 9?No5591¢91.5¢$50+$0.28$0
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará?Yes6085¢81¢$49−$2.40$0
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?Yes10051¢48.5¢$48−$2.49$0
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No7672¢62¢$47−$7.60−$37
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.90% before 2027?Yes11343¢39.5¢$44−$3.94−$1.59
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?No5390¢83¢$44−$3.70$0
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?No6781¢65.5¢$44−$10−$4.73
Carles Puigdemont back in Spain in 2026?Yes5687¢77.5¢$43−$5.31−$7.62
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 9?No4583.1¢95.3¢$43+$5.54+$4.53
Will Federico Dimarco (Inter) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Serie A season?Yes13537¢31.5¢$42−$7.42+$2.61
Will Atlético Madrid finish 9th-24th in UCL league phase?Yes6076¢69.5¢$42−$3.90$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?54¢35$1948%30
BUY YesWill KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?47¢13$6.2448%30
BUY YesWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 15?29¢60$1748%30
SELL BuccaneersSpread: Cowboys (-9.5)57¢379$21648%30
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-9.5)43.9¢2,421$1,06348%30
BUY CowboysSpread: Cowboys (-9.5)42.7¢839$35848%30
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?76¢534$40548%30
BUY YesWill Russia target Kyiv on October 10, 2026?93.7¢94$8848%30
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?72¢50$3648%30
SELL YesWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?32¢10$3.2048%30
SELL YesWill Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?23¢39$8.9448%30
SELL YesUBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?21¢19$3.9348%30
SELL YesUBS announces move out of Switzerland by December 31?12¢1$0.1548%30
SELL YesIsrael military action against Lebanon on October 31?78¢20$1648%30
SELL YesWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?31¢72$2248%30
BUY NoWill Jynxzi, Ron or Los die to a slime?95¢7$7.0048%30
SELL NoWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 8?99.9¢8$8.3848%30
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 8?99.9¢6$5.8348%30
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 8?99.9¢10$1048%30
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 8?99.9¢39$3948%30