| Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | No | 200 | 86¢ | 76.5¢ | $153 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? | Yes | 174 | 66¢ | 64¢ | $111 | −$3.48 | −$1.14 | |
| Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 120 | 91.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $106 | −$3.72 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 126 | 75¢ | 73.5¢ | $93 | −$1.89 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | 120 | 85¢ | 76.5¢ | $92 | −$10 | −$2.05 | |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 621 | 17¢ | 14¢ | $87 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | Yes | 241 | 38.3¢ | 27.7¢ | $67 | −$26 | $0 | |
| Will the Carolina Panthers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | No | 94 | 64¢ | 59.5¢ | $56 | −$4.22 | −$11 | |
| Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | 88 | 65.7¢ | 59.3¢ | $52 | −$5.68 | $0 | |
| Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? | No | 106 | 52¢ | 48.5¢ | $51 | −$3.71 | $0 | |
| Will Lux (Rosalía) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | 59 | 84¢ | 79.5¢ | $47 | −$2.65 | $0 | |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? | No | 60 | 78¢ | 74.5¢ | $45 | −$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | No | 144 | 37¢ | 26.5¢ | $38 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | 53 | 73¢ | 69.5¢ | $37 | −$1.85 | $0 | |
| Ethereal FDV above $25M one day after launch? | No | 73 | 61¢ | 49¢ | $36 | −$8.76 | $0 | |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026? | Yes | 35 | 92¢ | 89.5¢ | $31 | −$0.88 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 60 | 48¢ | 47¢ | $28 | −$0.60 | +$16 | |
| Will KT Rolster win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 55 | 41¢ | 45.5¢ | $25 | +$2.48 | +$18 | |
| Will the New Orleans Saints have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | No | 46 | 53¢ | 52.5¢ | $24 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 47 | 50¢ | 49.5¢ | $23 | −$0.23 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 48¢ | 46.5¢ | $23 | −$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | No | 29 | 84.8¢ | 77.1¢ | $22 | −$2.23 | −$2.52 | |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in October? | Yes | 59 | 51¢ | 35.5¢ | $21 | −$9.14 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026? | Yes | 27 | 78¢ | 77¢ | $21 | −$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Finance be appointed by February 28, 2027? | Yes | 53 | 39¢ | 37¢ | $20 | −$1.06 | $0 | |
| Will the longest game of the 2026 MLB Postseason last 11+ innings? | Yes | 33 | 58.9¢ | 58¢ | $19 | −$0.31 | $0 | |
| Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | Yes | 37 | 53¢ | 51.5¢ | $19 | −$0.56 | $0 | |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 60 | 37¢ | 31¢ | $19 | −$3.62 | +$8.11 | |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $58 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 27 | 74¢ | 68.5¢ | $18 | −$1.49 | $0 | |
| Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | No | 61 | 49¢ | 29.5¢ | $18 | −$12 | +$1.72 | |
| Will jawgemo have the most kills for G2 Esports at VALORANT Champions 2026? | No | 31 | 63.8¢ | 56.1¢ | $17 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | Yes | 21 | 84¢ | 80.5¢ | $17 | −$0.75 | −$0.03 | |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | Yes | 62 | 32¢ | 27.5¢ | $17 | −$2.79 | $0 | |
| Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026? | No | 22 | 78¢ | 77.4¢ | $17 | −$0.13 | −$3.92 | |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 40 | 74¢ | 42¢ | $17 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting? | Yes | 22 | 90¢ | 75.1¢ | $17 | −$3.27 | $0 | |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? | No | 100 | 22.3¢ | 16.1¢ | $16 | −$6.20 | $0 | |
| Progressive (PGR) Q3 combined ratio 86% to 89%? | No | 39 | 42¢ | 39.5¢ | $15 | −$0.96 | −$0.43 | |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-10 House election by 30%-35%? | No | 21 | 79¢ | 68.5¢ | $14 | −$2.21 | −$0.35 | |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 32 | 46.9¢ | 44.3¢ | $14 | −$0.85 | −$0.60 | |
| Will Aaron Jones have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | Yes | 25 | 63¢ | 56.5¢ | $14 | −$1.63 | $0 | |
| Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 103.50 in October? | Yes | 45 | 39¢ | 31¢ | $14 | −$3.60 | +$0.19 | |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | Yes | 25 | 57¢ | 52.5¢ | $13 | −$1.13 | $0 | |
| Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | Yes | 59 | 24¢ | 21.5¢ | $13 | −$1.48 | $0 | |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Rodri or Lionel Messi to finish higher? | Messi | 35 | 48¢ | 35.5¢ | $12 | −$4.38 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Pará? | No | 63 | 20¢ | 19.5¢ | $12 | −$0.32 | $0 | |
| Will Wildwood win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | No | 45 | 33¢ | 26.5¢ | $12 | −$2.92 | $0 | |
| Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? | No | 20 | 63¢ | 56.5¢ | $11 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | No | 25 | 53¢ | 44.5¢ | $11 | −$2.13 | $0 | |
| Will Mitchell Marner record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | Yes | 20 | 62¢ | 52.5¢ | $11 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | No | 48 | 30¢ | 21.5¢ | $10 | −$4.08 | $0 | |
| Will BYU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 38 | 34¢ | 25.5¢ | $9.69 | −$3.23 | $0 | |
| Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 23 | 43¢ | 40.5¢ | $9.31 | −$0.57 | −$0.51 | |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | 13 | 81¢ | 67.5¢ | $8.82 | −$1.76 | $0 | |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? | Yes | 102 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | $8.67 | −$2.55 | $0 | |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? | No | 28 | 39¢ | 29¢ | $8.12 | −$2.80 | $0 | |
| Will Indiana have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | No | 49 | 22¢ | 16.5¢ | $8.09 | −$2.69 | $0 | |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs? | Yes | 78 | 17¢ | 9¢ | $7.02 | −$6.24 | $0 | |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings be the last unbeaten team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | No | 10 | 69¢ | 69¢ | $6.90 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of National Security? | Yes | 64 | 14¢ | 10.5¢ | $6.72 | −$2.24 | $0 | |
| Will Brock Bowers be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? | Yes | 24 | 42.4¢ | 27.4¢ | $6.56 | −$3.61 | $0 | |
| Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 20 | 36¢ | 32¢ | $6.40 | −$0.80 | $0 | |
| Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026? | No | 112 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | $6.16 | −$6.16 | +$47 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 80 | 19¢ | 7.5¢ | $6.00 | −$9.20 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2? | No | 20 | 48¢ | 30¢ | $6.00 | −$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | No | 27 | 26¢ | 21.5¢ | $5.80 | −$1.22 | $0 | |
| Will Lana Del Rey release a new album by November 30? | Yes | 39 | 26¢ | 14¢ | $5.46 | −$4.68 | $0 | |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 63 | 11¢ | 8.5¢ | $5.36 | −$1.57 | +$7.80 | |
| Will Branislav Becík win the 2026 Nitra Region gubernatorial election? | No | 57 | 13.8¢ | 9.3¢ | $5.27 | −$2.59 | $0 | |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 10%-15%? | No | 8 | 74¢ | 66¢ | $5.25 | −$0.64 | +$0.87 | |
| Will Salahdine Parnasse fight Rafael Fiziev next? | Yes | 36 | 17¢ | 14.5¢ | $5.22 | −$0.90 | −$0.33 | |
| Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026? | No | 21 | 40¢ | 24¢ | $5.04 | −$3.36 | $0 | |
| Will Team WE win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026? | Yes | 39 | 7.7¢ | 12.8¢ | $4.96 | +$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | 30.2¢ | 24.1¢ | $4.92 | −$1.25 | +$1.30 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 72 | 9¢ | 6.5¢ | $4.68 | −$1.80 | $0 | |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in October? | Yes | 41 | 23¢ | 10.5¢ | $4.30 | −$5.13 | $0 | |
| Will Solana hit $150 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | 25¢ | 17¢ | $4.25 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-02 House election by 20%-25%? | Yes | 20 | 23.3¢ | 21.1¢ | $4.21 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $11B and $14B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 39 | 13.5¢ | 10.3¢ | $4.05 | −$1.26 | −$0.08 | |
| Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026? | Yes | 134 | 12¢ | 2.8¢ | $3.69 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18? | Yes | 74 | 14¢ | 4.6¢ | $3.37 | −$6.99 | $0 | |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | No | 4 | 77.5¢ | 79¢ | $3.25 | +$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 11 | 29¢ | 24.5¢ | $2.71 | −$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12? | No | 17 | 20¢ | 15.5¢ | $2.66 | −$0.77 | −$0.09 | |
| Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by December 31? | No | 4 | 56¢ | 66.5¢ | $2.40 | +$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Antoine Semenyo win the 2026-27 English Premier League Player of the Season award? | Yes | 48 | 11.8¢ | 5¢ | $2.37 | −$3.28 | $0 | |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | Yes | 5 | 42¢ | 47¢ | $2.26 | +$0.24 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October? | Yes | 23 | 14¢ | 9.5¢ | $2.19 | −$1.03 | +$9.03 | |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 17¢ | 10¢ | $2.00 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 3 | 62¢ | 73¢ | $1.92 | +$0.29 | −$0.15 | |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 2 | 83¢ | 79.5¢ | $1.59 | −$0.07 | −$2.97 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-11 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | 22 | 15¢ | 6¢ | $1.32 | −$1.98 | $0 | |
| Will Fernando Mendoza finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most Total QBR among qualified players? | Yes | 28 | 21.9¢ | 4.4¢ | $1.23 | −$4.90 | $0 | |
| Will PCN win the third most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? | Yes | 4 | 30¢ | 29¢ | $1.10 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | Yes | 2 | 61¢ | 70.5¢ | $1.08 | +$0.15 | $0 | |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win more than 8.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? | O 8.5 | 2 | 46¢ | 46¢ | $0.92 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 12 2026? | No | 2 | 32¢ | 46¢ | $0.92 | +$0.28 | +$14 | |
| Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round by 3%-6%? | Yes | 8 | 14.3¢ | 7¢ | $0.56 | −$0.58 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1? | Yes | 11 | 5.1¢ | 4.8¢ | $0.53 | −$0.04 | +$36 | |
| Will Democrats win the Ohio and Iowa Senate seats, and Republicans win Maine? | Yes | 2 | 15¢ | 26¢ | $0.49 | +$0.21 | $0 | |