sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,150

squirtl

0xe14…78d4
PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$30.8kvol $579k
PnL 30d+$925gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$171win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate78.8%adj 67.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10.1kcash n/a
Positions13 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$35.4kbelow peak −$10.9kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale64
Adjusted win rateraw 78.8% · shrunk toward 50%70
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No10.6k47.1¢94.5¢$10.0k+$5,025$0
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes4,54511¢2.6¢$116−$384$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No14.1k31.3¢0¢$0−$4,407$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No11.9k59¢0¢$0−$7,000$0
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election?Yes10.1k49.4¢0¢$0−$5,000$0
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?Yes7,38674.5¢0¢$0−$5,500$0
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes7,36213.6¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No7,19561¢0¢$0−$4,387$0
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No6,00056.1¢0¢$0−$3,368$0
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes2,69337.1¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No2,67418.7¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes2,60831.7¢0¢$0−$826$0
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No1,51566¢0¢$0−$1,000$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?99.4¢10.0k$9,94079%32
SELL NoWill Trump visit China by April 30?98.7¢2,710$2,67579%32
BUY NoKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?61¢7,195$4,38779%32
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?11¢4,545$50079%32
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?47.1¢10.6k$5,00079%32
BUY NoGPT ads by March 31?4.6¢2,181$10079%32
BUY YesWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?37.1¢2,693$1,00079%32
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?59¢11.9k$7,00079%32
BUY YesWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?13.6¢7,362$1,00079%32
BUY NoWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?66¢1,515$1,00079%32
BUY NoWill Trump visit China by April 30?36.9¢2,710$1,00079%32
BUY NoWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?57.4¢10.0k$5,73979%32
SELL YesWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?99.9¢7,630$7,62279%32
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?86.8¢33.5k$29.1k79%32Whale
SELL NoU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? 95¢8,383$7,96679%32
SELL NoUkraine election held by December 31, 2025?98.2¢6,814$6,69079%32
SELL NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?98.3¢21.1k$20.8k79%32Whale
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?79.8¢7,769$6,19879%32
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?63.8¢15.7k$10.0k79%32
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?18.7¢2,674$50079%32