sharpside
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Traders/Rank #907

0xPolymath

0xe1e…5fb6
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$226kvol $17.3M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate30.2%adj 32.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions13 / 185open / all-time
Max drawdown−36.5%of equity peak
Account age3.3ylast trade 10mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$226kbelow peak −$117kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale76
Adjusted win rateraw 30.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity64

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Biden drops out of presidential race? · Yesclosed+$253kWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$73.2kWill Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Noclosed+$72.8kWill Eric Adams drop out? · Yesclosed+$42.5kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$35.5k

Worst markets

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? · Yesclosed−$74.7kWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Noclosed−$64.1kWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesopen−$25.6kWill Biden finish his term? · Noclosed−$25.0kDid Barron Trump launch $DJT? · Yesclosed−$13.2k

Open positions · 13

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes128k2.6¢0¢$0−$3,398$0
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes124k5.5¢0¢$0−$6,773−$699
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes89.9k14.4¢0¢$0−$13.0k−$12.7k
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes20.9k6.2¢0¢$0−$1,297$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes16.3k8.2¢0¢$0−$1,336−$1,170
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?Yes16.3k1.9¢0¢$0−$315$0
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes10.0k6.9¢0¢$0−$694$0
Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes10.0k15¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes7,24418.1¢0¢$0−$1,308−$2,030
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?Yes3,39829.4¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Bitcoin above $116K on September 5?Yes3,3902.9¢0¢$0−$100$0
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes1,8522.7¢0¢$0−$50−$902
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No97957.9¢0¢$0−$567$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?6.3¢860$5430%43
SELL NoWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?53.9¢3,000$1,61730%43
BUY NoWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?57.9¢979$56730%43
BUY YesWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?29.4¢3,398$1,00030%43
BUY YesWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?3.1¢24.4k$75030%43
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?84.5¢35.5k$30.0k30%43Whale
BUY NoWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?58.6¢8,525$5,00030%43
BUY YesWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 202515¢10.0k$1,50030%43
SELL YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?8.6¢30.0k$2,57030%43
SELL YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?5.1¢30.0k$1,51930%43
SELL NoWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?4.6¢20.1k$92730%43
SELL YesWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?4.5¢15.0k$67830%43
SELL YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?4.1¢7,375$30530%43
BUY YesWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?1.7¢8,839$14830%43
BUY YesWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?1.6¢9,598$15030%43
SELL NoWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?84.3¢750$63330%43
BUY YesWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?23.5¢2,126$50030%43
BUY YesWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?21.3¢941$20030%43
BUY YesWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?11.1¢18.0k$2,00030%43
BUY YesWill Curtis Sliwa drop out?21.3¢2,348$50030%43