| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 1,132 | 23¢ | 38.5¢ | $436 | +$175 | +$2.16 | |
| Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | No | 348 | 79.8¢ | 100¢ | $348 | +$70 | +$6.14 | |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 30? | Down | 302 | 34¢ | 100¢ | $302 | +$199 | $0 | |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | No | 278 | 81¢ | 100¢ | $278 | +$53 | +$3.60 | |
| Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026? | No | 301 | 83¢ | 88.5¢ | $266 | +$17 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 280 | 89¢ | 87.5¢ | $245 | −$4.20 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 289 | 82.7¢ | 81.5¢ | $235 | −$3.34 | −$1.91 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | No | 414 | 42.2¢ | 50.5¢ | $209 | +$35 | +$8.78 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 219 | 91¢ | 90¢ | $197 | −$2.17 | +$31 | |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | No | 195 | 90.2¢ | 96.6¢ | $188 | +$12 | −$0.04 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat? | No | 633 | 25.4¢ | 27.5¢ | $174 | +$14 | −$24 | |
| Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | Yes | 162 | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $162 | +$2.91 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | Yes | 255 | 57¢ | 58.5¢ | $149 | +$3.79 | −$72 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | No | 382 | 33.9¢ | 38.5¢ | $147 | +$18 | −$150 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 202 | 53.1¢ | 71¢ | $143 | +$36 | +$36 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 5? | No | 125 | 53¢ | 100¢ | $125 | +$59 | −$0.70 | |
| Will Trafford FC win on 2026-10-06? | No | 118 | 63¢ | 100¢ | $118 | +$44 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | No | 146 | 76.6¢ | 70.2¢ | $103 | −$9.50 | −$29 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | Yes | 165 | 60.1¢ | 61.5¢ | $102 | +$2.33 | −$81 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | Yes | 299 | 32.2¢ | 33.5¢ | $100 | +$3.91 | +$11 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 2? | No | 99 | 52.6¢ | 100¢ | $99 | +$47 | +$18 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | Yes | 287 | 33.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $96 | +$0.05 | −$12 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | No | 764 | 11.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $96 | +$6.21 | −$8.86 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | Yes | 300 | 30¢ | 28¢ | $84 | −$6.12 | +$0.01 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 84 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $84 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 299 | 30.6¢ | 27.5¢ | $82 | −$9.28 | $0 | |
| St. Thomas vs. Presbyterian: O/U 55.5 | Over | 80 | 55¢ | 100¢ | $80 | +$36 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October? | No | 119 | 60.7¢ | 66.5¢ | $79 | +$6.91 | +$54 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12? | No | 164 | 63¢ | 45.5¢ | $75 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 666 | 16.6¢ | 10.4¢ | $69 | −$41 | −$96 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | No | 76 | 80¢ | 88.5¢ | $67 | +$6.47 | −$0.07 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 265 | 26.3¢ | 23.5¢ | $62 | −$7.38 | −$12 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? | No | 69 | 66.9¢ | 89¢ | $61 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 293 | 31.7¢ | 19.5¢ | $57 | −$36 | −$101 | |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | 1,197 | 27.5¢ | 4.7¢ | $56 | −$274 | +$9.22 | |
| Will SC Lourel vs. SC Angrense end in a draw? | Yes | 61 | 96.4¢ | 91.1¢ | $56 | −$3.23 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | No | 63 | 80.8¢ | 86.5¢ | $55 | +$3.59 | +$41 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 94 | 55.9¢ | 57.5¢ | $54 | +$1.49 | +$66 | |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,091 | 14.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $53 | −$101 | +$28 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 23, 2026? | Yes | 64 | 82¢ | 81¢ | $52 | −$0.64 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 292 | 12.4¢ | 16.5¢ | $48 | +$12 | +$1.94 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 2? | No | 48 | 91.1¢ | 100¢ | $48 | +$4.27 | +$1.70 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 2? | No | 45 | 72.5¢ | 100¢ | $45 | +$12 | +$7.01 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12? | No | 66 | 44.9¢ | 64.5¢ | $42 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | Yes | 289 | 20¢ | 13.5¢ | $39 | −$19 | +$15 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | Yes | 299 | 13¢ | 11.5¢ | $34 | −$4.37 | −$8.93 | |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | Yes | 300 | 27¢ | 11¢ | $33 | −$48 | +$115 | |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | No | 276 | 39.7¢ | 11.5¢ | $32 | −$78 | +$14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on October 5? | No | 30 | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | $30 | +$3.42 | +$0.33 | |
| US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? | Yes | 300 | 32.2¢ | 10¢ | $30 | −$67 | +$128 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 2? | No | 29 | 85.2¢ | 100¢ | $29 | +$4.25 | +$8.72 | |
| Will New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 1,530 | 8.2¢ | 1.9¢ | $28 | −$97 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat? | Yes | 225 | 19.8¢ | 12.5¢ | $28 | −$16 | −$2.10 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on October 5? | No | 25 | 67.2¢ | 100¢ | $25 | +$8.13 | +$3.53 | |
| Will Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 441 | 3.4¢ | 5.6¢ | $24 | +$9.30 | +$40 | |
| Will Morocco vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 24 | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $24 | +$0.66 | +$1.95 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 12? | No | 25 | 90.2¢ | 98.4¢ | $24 | +$2.00 | $0 | |
| Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 194 | 8.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $22 | +$5.30 | +$2.12 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? | No | 53 | 36.7¢ | 41.5¢ | $22 | +$2.55 | −$148 | |
| Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting? | No | 216 | 12.6¢ | 10¢ | $22 | −$5.63 | +$8.42 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | Yes | 233 | 7¢ | 9¢ | $21 | +$4.65 | +$2.27 | |
| Will Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 800 | 6.8¢ | 2.5¢ | $20 | −$34 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | No | 22 | 88.5¢ | 89.5¢ | $20 | +$0.20 | +$4.04 | |
| Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election? | Yes | 39 | 50.1¢ | 49.5¢ | $19 | −$0.22 | +$6.14 | |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 5? | No | 17 | 79¢ | 100¢ | $17 | +$3.48 | +$3.80 | |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | Yes | 16 | 86¢ | 97.6¢ | $16 | +$1.90 | +$0.48 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 215 and 219 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 240 | 1.4¢ | 6.6¢ | $16 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026? | Yes | 415 | 7¢ | 3.8¢ | $16 | −$13 | +$1.41 | |
| Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 1,249 | 4.7¢ | 1.2¢ | $15 | −$44 | $0 | |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 49 | 45¢ | 29¢ | $14 | −$7.89 | −$27 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 31? | Yes | 299 | 15¢ | 4.5¢ | $13 | −$31 | +$3.17 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 300 | 1.8¢ | 4¢ | $12 | +$6.46 | $0 | |
| Tariff increase on Canada in effect by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 108 | 21.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $11 | −$11 | +$0.59 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 206 | 7.7¢ | 5.1¢ | $11 | −$5.27 | −$11 | |
| Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 716 | 5.3¢ | 1.4¢ | $10 | −$28 | +$37 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | Yes | 16 | 59.4¢ | 62¢ | $9.77 | +$0.40 | +$1.51 | |
| Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 131 | 6.5¢ | 7.4¢ | $9.69 | +$1.24 | +$16 | |
| Will Marc Marquez win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? | No | 33 | 21¢ | 28.5¢ | $9.40 | +$2.47 | +$1.30 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 5? | No | 9 | 86¢ | 100¢ | $9.00 | +$1.26 | $0 | |
| Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 290 | 51¢ | 2.9¢ | $8.27 | −$140 | −$51 | |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 200 | 1.9¢ | 3.7¢ | $7.40 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026? | Yes | 169 | 7.5¢ | 4.3¢ | $7.27 | −$5.43 | −$1.99 | |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Yes | 167 | 28.1¢ | 4.3¢ | $7.09 | −$40 | −$99 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat? | No | 217 | 7¢ | 3.2¢ | $6.84 | −$8.35 | $0 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | No | 16 | 36.2¢ | 38¢ | $6.18 | +$0.30 | +$0.55 | |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | 869 | 1.6¢ | 0.7¢ | $6.08 | −$7.45 | $0 | |
| Will a new pneumonic plague case be confirmed in Russia by October 15? | Yes | 263 | 7¢ | 2.2¢ | $5.65 | −$13 | +$14 | |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes | 139 | 13¢ | 3.9¢ | $5.41 | −$13 | +$1.60 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 5? | No | 5 | 59¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | +$2.05 | $0 | |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá? | Yes | 5 | 78¢ | 100¢ | $5.00 | +$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026? | No | 201 | 9.8¢ | 2.4¢ | $4.82 | −$15 | −$1.73 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in October? | Yes | 188 | 7¢ | 2.6¢ | $4.79 | −$8.37 | +$1.12 | |
| Will Pat McFadden be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet? | Yes | 84 | 13.8¢ | 5.7¢ | $4.77 | −$6.78 | −$3.04 | |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 4 | 36.1¢ | 100¢ | $4.24 | +$2.71 | +$49 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | No | 4 | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | $4.09 | +$0.15 | +$3.07 | |
| Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | Yes | 106 | 7.7¢ | 3.5¢ | $3.66 | −$4.54 | +$3.93 | |
| US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 4 | 92.7¢ | 96.5¢ | $3.58 | +$0.14 | +$14 | |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | Yes | 65 | 3.5¢ | 5.1¢ | $3.36 | +$1.07 | +$6.86 | |
| Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? | No | 3 | 76.1¢ | 96.6¢ | $3.09 | +$0.66 | +$14 | |
| Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | Yes | 161 | 3.4¢ | 1.9¢ | $3.06 | −$2.36 | $0 | |