sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,855

Elposton

0xe22…1f4c
CryptoCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$14.7kvol $3.82M
PnL 30d−$2,396gains $1,836 · losses $3,404
PnL 7d−$943win rate 7d 7.7%
Win rate16.0%adj 17.3% · 30d 15.3%
Open value$2,483cash n/a
Positions83 / 579open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$10.8kbelow peak −$11.4kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 16.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 83

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No9,79423.4¢23¢$2,253−$43−$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes48.0k0.5¢0.5¢$216−$21$0
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Yes5226¢24.5¢$13−$0.78$0
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Yes824¢22.5¢$1.88−$0.12$0
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes15.6k0.3¢0¢$0−$47−$2.34
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?Yes7,4832.4¢0¢$0−$177−$8.48
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?Yes3,9961.2¢0¢$0−$48−$2.36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?No3,7560.4¢0¢$0−$14−$1.00
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 600m and 700m by August 31?Yes3,4440.3¢0¢$0−$9.99−$0.50
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?Yes3,1168.4¢0¢$0−$262−$24
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 960m and 980m by August 31?Yes3,0580.5¢0¢$0−$16−$0.79
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 34m?Yes3,0331.3¢0¢$0−$40$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 August 17-23?Yes2,4740.2¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.42
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No2,3431.2¢0¢$0−$28−$1.39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 August 17-23?Yes2,2950.3¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 3?No2,1831.4¢0¢$0−$31−$2.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?No2,0550.9¢0¢$0−$19−$1.29
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 960m by August 31?Yes2,0460.9¢0¢$0−$19−$0.94
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?Yes1,8571.4¢0¢$0−$26−$30
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?Yes1,6722.7¢0¢$0−$45−$2.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 21?No1,3781.6¢0¢$0−$22+$17
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on September 21?Yes1,2648¢0¢$0−$101−$6.49
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?Yes1,26116.3¢0¢$0−$206−$48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 1?No1,2220.8¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.69
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?Yes1,2032.2¢0¢$0−$26−$1.27
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes1,1642.6¢0¢$0−$30−$1.45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 9?No1,1181.1¢0¢$0−$12−$0.83
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?No1,0962.6¢0¢$0−$28−$1.91
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 24?No1,0320.9¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.62
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No1,0001.2¢0¢$0−$12−$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88,000 on September 21?Yes9602.6¢0¢$0−$25−$1.70
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No90411.3¢0¢$0−$102+$14
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?Yes8492.1¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes7891.5¢0¢$0−$12−$0.59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 28?No7780.9¢0¢$0−$7.00−$0.49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 28?Yes77110.8¢0¢$0−$84−$45
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?Yes76512.5¢0¢$0−$96−$4.11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on August 28?No7421.3¢0¢$0−$9.64−$0.67
Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 22?Yes71411¢0¢$0−$78−$27
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on August 31?No68211¢0¢$0−$75−$4.64
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?No6490.8¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29?No6431.4¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.62
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Yes5887.6¢0¢$0−$45−$2.06
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?No5833.8¢0¢$0−$22−$1.06
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?Yes5660.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No5434.6¢0¢$0−$25−$1.19
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Yes5080.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 24?No5001¢0¢$0−$5.00−$15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?No46111.7¢0¢$0−$54−$3.30
Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?Yes4401.5¢0¢$0−$6.74−$0.33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27?Yes4242.3¢0¢$0−$9.80−$0.67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 3?Yes4063.9¢0¢$0−$16−$1.06
Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 11m?No3751.1¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 26?Yes3664.1¢0¢$0−$15−$0.58
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during their summit?Yes3560.6¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 24?Yes35510.6¢0¢$0−$38+$11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 26?Yes3533¢0¢$0−$11−$0.72
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?Yes3493.3¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No26112.7¢0¢$0−$33−$452
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be less than 4m?Yes2236.7¢0¢$0−$15−$0.70
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?No2233.3¢0¢$0−$7.31−$0.49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 2?No20623.6¢0¢$0−$49−$2.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 22?No1671.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.14
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19?Yes1676¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.47
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be at least 6m?No1639.8¢0¢$0−$16−$0.72
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?No16214.6¢0¢$0−$24−$1.42
Will "The Uprising" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 4.5m?No1588.2¢0¢$0−$13−$0.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on August 25?No14524.6¢0¢$0−$36−$1.89
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 28?No1323.8¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.34
Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during September Press Conference?Yes12410.1¢0¢$0−$13−$0.45
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 4.5m?Yes1202.5¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 24?No1148.8¢0¢$0−$10−$12
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Yes10812¢0¢$0−$13−$0.57
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?No836¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 26?Yes8318¢0¢$0−$15−$0.49
Chiefs vs. DolphinsDolphins5917¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?Yes5714¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.34
Will "Practical Magic 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 11m?Yes5418.6¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.41
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on September 22?Yes402.5¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.07
Will Deportivo San Pedro win on 2026-09-06?Yes406¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.11
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?Yes2913.6¢0¢$0−$4.00−$1.51
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?Yes1414.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.09
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Yes111.4¢0¢$0−$0.16−$0.01

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?24¢215$5216%28
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?23.8¢5,043$1,20016%28
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?23¢82$1916%28
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?31.7¢64$2016%28
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?37.7¢64$2416%28
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?3.4¢259$8.8016%28
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?1.2¢1,452$1716%28
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?26¢52$1416%28
SELL NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?0.7¢2,068$1516%28
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.3¢15.0k$4516%28
SELL NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?20¢246$4916%28
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.3¢667$2.0016%28
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?4.6¢259$1216%28
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?2.9¢346$1016%28
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?2.7¢1,106$3016%28
SELL NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?22¢259$5716%28
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 9?29.2¢13$3.9116%28
BUY NoAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?23¢1,817$41816%28
BUY YesWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?0.5¢10.0k$5016%28
BUY NoWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 10?2.7¢443$1216%28