PnL all-time−$34vol $10.8k
PnL 30d−$402gains $5.04 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate90.9%adj 80.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$407cash n/a
Positions3 / 58open / all-time
Max drawdown−3.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 21d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$33below peak $0Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
49/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 90.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d27
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity97
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Manchester City wins the Premier League? · Noclosed+$60Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? · Yesclosed+$19LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Bilibili Gamingclosed+$12No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$11LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In · T1closed+$8.28
Worst markets
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? · Noclosed−$117Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed−$42Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$40LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B · JD Gamingclosed−$25Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$1.08
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 143 | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $143 | +$0.71 | $0 | |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | No | 132 | 99¢ | 100¢ | $132 | +$1.32 | $0 | |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 132 | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $132 | +$1.58 | $0 |
Recent trades
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