PnL all-time−$2,176vol $1.34M
PnL 30d−$101gains $0 · losses $2,418
PnL 7d+$37win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 42.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$76.6kcash n/a
Positions9 / 24open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$3,317below peak −$9,106Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
14/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%7
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable46
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d71
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Noclosed+$5,786Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Noopen+$1,518Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$617Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31? · Noclosed+$421Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Noopen+$403
Worst markets
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Noopen−$2,912US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,418Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Noopen−$2,197Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,235US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Noclosed−$1,141
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 54.5k | 89.8¢ | 90.5¢ | $49.3k | +$403 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 27.6k | 79¢ | 84.5¢ | $23.3k | +$1,518 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | No | 3,434 | 70.6¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,661 | +$237 | +$58 | |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.2k | 11.7¢ | 4.8¢ | $490 | −$700 | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 7,278 | 36.2¢ | 6¢ | $437 | −$2,197 | $0 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 321 | 82.6¢ | 88.5¢ | $284 | +$19 | −$2,931 | |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 206 | 33.5¢ | 24.5¢ | $50 | −$19 | $0 | |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | Yes | 1,100 | 34.5¢ | 4.5¢ | $50 | −$330 | $0 | |
| SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028? | No | 90 | 44.4¢ | 23¢ | $21 | −$19 | $0 |
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