sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,258

New.Jeans

0xe2b…7d2a@0xNewJeans
WhalePnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+CulturePoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$157kvol $12.9M
PnL 30d−$14.3kgains $17.8k · losses $15.0k
PnL 7d−$5,039win rate 7d 55.6%
Win rate50.8%adj 50.8% · 30d 57.6%
Open value$38.8kcash n/a
Positions111 / 1,639open / all-time
Max drawdown−45.6%of equity peak
Account age5.8ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$156kbelow peak −$109kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

61/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 50.8% · shrunk toward 50%27
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity54

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes24.7k50.2¢44.5¢$11.0k−$1,410−$584
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes24.6k56.3¢42.5¢$10.4k−$3,386+$114
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes9,77153.8¢74.5¢$7,279+$2,024$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?No4,01461.1¢74.5¢$2,990+$536$0
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?No5,78955.7¢40.5¢$2,344−$882−$98
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes5,02740.8¢38¢$1,910−$142+$129
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?Yes6,27118.4¢13.5¢$847−$306$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?Yes1,21433.5¢60¢$728+$322$0
Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Yes96122.3¢57.5¢$553+$339$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No95941.4¢38.5¢$369−$28+$131
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?No34464.9¢66¢$227+$3.64$0
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?No12959.4¢86.5¢$112+$35−$13
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?Yes59613.2¢3.3¢$19−$59$0
Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?Yes328.5¢24.1¢$7.65+$4.96$0
Will Wild Horse Nine get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes1501.7¢0.6¢$0.90−$1.63$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No46.0k60¢0¢$0−$27.6k+$669
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes41.9k11¢0¢$0−$4,596$0
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?Yes19.3k35.5¢0¢$0−$6,873−$84
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?Yes18.2k38.2¢0¢$0−$6,968$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?Yes16.1k73.5¢0¢$0−$11.8k−$51
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m?Yes13.6k59.8¢0¢$0−$8,136−$234
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?Yes11.0k36.5¢0¢$0−$4,006−$7.91
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No10.5k59.3¢0¢$0−$6,230−$97
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?Yes10.1k27.1¢0¢$0−$2,732−$32
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?Yes10.0k23.4¢0¢$0−$2,346$0
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 95m?Yes10.0k17.1¢0¢$0−$1,713$0
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?Yes8,04830.1¢0¢$0−$2,421+$937
The Devil Wears Prada 2 vs. Michael Opening Weekend Box OfficeThe Devil Wears Prada 26,02712.2¢0¢$0−$735+$315
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No5,46617.8¢0¢$0−$973+$844
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?Yes5,31037¢0¢$0−$1,966−$25
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?No5,23528.3¢0¢$0−$1,480−$21
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 32m?No5,21050.2¢0¢$0−$2,616−$64
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?Yes4,41730.6¢0¢$0−$1,354−$265
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?No4,25658.5¢0¢$0−$2,491$0
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes3,79033.2¢0¢$0−$1,257−$34
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Yes3,70131.6¢0¢$0−$1,171−$20
Will "One Night Only" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 9m?Yes3,52020.7¢0¢$0−$728−$16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No3,40938.8¢0¢$0−$1,324+$534
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?Yes3,3819.2¢0¢$0−$309−$5.40
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?Yes3,37622.1¢0¢$0−$748−$12
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?Yes3,2378.8¢0¢$0−$285$0
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?No3,15128¢0¢$0−$882−$32
Will LAPTOP not launch by December 31?Yes3,0673.3¢0¢$0−$101−$4.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?No2,89019.9¢0¢$0−$575+$58
LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?No2,7024.2¢0¢$0−$114−$7.61
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 510m and 530m by August 31?Yes2,4608.1¢0¢$0−$200−$3.16
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?No2,38125¢0¢$0−$596−$8.88
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?No2,37454.4¢0¢$0−$1,291−$37
Will LAPTOP launch on Base?No2,3303.6¢0¢$0−$83−$1.18
LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes2,30852¢0¢$0−$1,199−$35
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?No2,17449.7¢0¢$0−$1,081−$27
Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?Yes2,07129.8¢0¢$0−$617−$17
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be at least 152m?No2,00032¢0¢$0−$640−$4.46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?No2,00032¢0¢$0−$640−$5.63
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,00051¢0¢$0−$1,020−$10
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m?Yes2,00055¢0¢$0−$1,100$0
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes2,0003¢0¢$0−$60$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?Yes1,77966¢0¢$0−$1,174$0
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 21.5m?Yes1,75728.8¢0¢$0−$506$0
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Yes1,74033.5¢0¢$0−$583−$17
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes1,64765¢0¢$0−$1,071−$16
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?Yes1,63536.6¢0¢$0−$598−$6.39
Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?Yes1,63010¢0¢$0−$163−$7.33
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?Yes1,62324.3¢0¢$0−$394−$1.16
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Yes1,60320.2¢0¢$0−$324−$2.50
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 61m?Yes1,58318.4¢0¢$0−$292−$0.98
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?No1,5646.5¢0¢$0−$101−$6.64
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes1,50026.3¢0¢$0−$395−$0.25
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 32m?Yes1,50041.7¢0¢$0−$625$0
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?No1,48218.5¢0¢$0−$274−$11
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15%+?Yes1,4589.8¢0¢$0−$142−$4.73
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No1,40510.7¢0¢$0−$150−$5.78
Will "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?Yes1,31622.4¢0¢$0−$295−$11
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?Yes1,19321.2¢0¢$0−$253$0
Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3m and 4m?Yes1,19116.1¢0¢$0−$192−$8.05
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?Yes1,02535¢0¢$0−$359$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?No1,00038¢0¢$0−$380$0
Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?Yes1,00070¢0¢$0−$700−$140
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?No1,00077¢0¢$0−$770$0
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?Yes1,0009¢0¢$0−$90−$1.87
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Day Box Office be between 45m and 48m?Yes1,00039¢0¢$0−$390$0
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?Yes1,00010¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 25m?Yes96349.8¢0¢$0−$480−$6.62
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 11-17 2026?Yes6595.5¢0¢$0−$36$0
Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?No57627.7¢0¢$0−$160−$5.77
Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?No54453.1¢0¢$0−$289−$14
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 16m?Yes50035¢0¢$0−$175$0
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes50035¢0¢$0−$175−$4.05
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?Yes50022¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?Yes50025¢0¢$0−$125−$1.13
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?Yes50043¢0¢$0−$215$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?No49370.9¢0¢$0−$350−$13
Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend?Yes40552.3¢0¢$0−$212−$7.92
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?Yes40010¢0¢$0−$40−$1.80
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?Yes3732.3¢0¢$0−$8.76+$350
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 74m and 80m?Yes32421.3¢0¢$0−$69−$30
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Yes31715¢0¢$0−$48$0
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?No2600.9¢0¢$0−$2.34+$1,281
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 26m?Yes2561¢0¢$0−$2.59−$0.11
Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 18.5m and 20m?No19080¢0¢$0−$152$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?76¢1,790$1,36151%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?20.8¢844$17651%61
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?70.2¢726$50951%61
BUY YesWill "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?41.8¢120$5051%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?18.8¢668$12551%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?14¢111$1651%61
BUY YesWill "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?22.3¢961$21451%61
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?64.9¢344$22451%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?18.7¢537$10151%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?14.5¢41$5.9351%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?18.7¢1,133$21251%61
SELL NoWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?48¢1,000$48051%61
BUY YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m?18.5¢1,434$26551%61
BUY YesWill "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?8.5¢32$2.6951%61
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?58.9¢728$42851%61
BUY YesWill "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 7m?50.9¢416$21251%61
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?59¢695$41051%61
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?56.7¢598$34051%61
BUY YesWill "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m?27¢200$5451%61
BUY NoWill "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?0.2¢785$1.5751%61