sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,510

0xzipper

0xe39…bfcb@0xlykt
SharpPnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$35.8kvol $2.30M
PnL 30d−$106gains $3,497 · losses $1,851
PnL 7d+$917win rate 7d 61.5%
Win rate73.8%adj 72.9% · 30d 66.2%
Open value$6,786cash n/a
Positions68 / 2,515open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.2%of equity peak
Account age11molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$36.2kbelow peak −$200Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

80/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale65
Adjusted win rateraw 73.8% · shrunk toward 50%82
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? · Yesclosed+$549Will Ramzan Kadyrov win the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections? · Yesclosed+$444Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1? · Yesclosed+$437Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards? · Noopen+$420US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? · Noclosed+$400

Worst markets

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31? · Yesopen−$712Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? · Yesclosed−$675Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? · Yesclosed−$643 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? · Yesclosed−$641China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yesclosed−$636

Open positions · 64

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?No71981.4¢94.9¢$683+$97+$128
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No82850.7¢60.5¢$501+$81+$8.50
Will Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No69961.9¢71¢$496+$64+$17
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No1,00051¢41.5¢$415−$95$0
Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?No76045.2¢43.8¢$333−$11+$8.01
Will Slay the Spire 2 win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?No30463.1¢98¢$297+$106+$314
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?No30786.2¢90.7¢$279+$14$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00026¢25¢$250−$10$0
Will Alexa Loo win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election?No28974.4¢84.5¢$244+$29+$1.72
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes57451.4¢40.5¢$232−$62+$22
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?No75317.8¢30¢$226+$92$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No1,87236.9¢12¢$225−$465$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?Yes86694.4¢20.3¢$176−$641−$71
Will Otzma win 4-5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?No17881.3¢91¢$162+$17+$12
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?Yes1,26411.2¢11¢$139−$2.68+$56
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes1,00020¢13.5¢$135−$65−$82
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes2,00013¢6.5¢$130−$130$0
Will Carolyn Parrish win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?No26550.6¢49¢$130−$4.30+$11
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $80B and $100B at market close on IPO day?No13289¢95.3¢$126+$8.26$0
Will Teach You a Lesson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows of 2026?No16145.4¢74¢$119+$46+$33
Will Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?No25076¢46¢$115−$75$0
Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Yes38325.9¢28.5¢$109+$9.86+$24
Will Cheryl Fuller win the next Central Coast mayoral election?Yes11659.9¢84¢$98+$28+$63
Will more than 600,000 Chinook pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?No10056¢92.5¢$93+$37−$24
Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 6.50% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?No11043.5¢83.5¢$92+$44+$25
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $150M one day after launch?No22332.5¢40.5¢$90+$18+$7.28
Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No22529¢30¢$68+$2.25$0
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No14546.8¢41.5¢$60−$7.69+$14
Will Julia Arcelia Olguín Serna win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?No5571.7¢99.6¢$54+$15+$57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?No8328¢65¢$54+$31+$17
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1,30016.9¢3.9¢$51−$169+$6.32
Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?Yes5896.1¢83.9¢$48−$7.06$0
Will Zac de Vries win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election?No14056.3¢33.5¢$47−$32+$138
Will Oliver Tree rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Passings in the US of 2026?No32016¢14¢$45−$6.40$0
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes4746.8¢73.5¢$35+$13+$35
Will Bill Harvey win the next Hobart mayoral election?Yes20117.2¢16.9¢$34−$0.65+$5.14
Will Sue Hickey win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?No11851.3¢27.5¢$32−$28$0
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No3077¢94.5¢$28+$5.25$0
Will ByteDance be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Yes16524.7¢16.5¢$27−$13+$79
Will Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?No4777¢55.5¢$26−$10+$14
Will RZP-Zehut win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Yes8040.8¢31.5¢$25−$7.40$0
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?No10380¢23.5¢$24−$58$0
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?Yes58125.1¢3.7¢$21−$125+$32
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?Yes73012.5¢2.8¢$20−$71$0
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes12289¢16.5¢$20−$89−$276
Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No2094¢98.3¢$20+$0.86$0
Will Russell Yaxley win the next Glenorchy mayoral election?Yes10128.4¢18.5¢$19−$10+$51
Will the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) win the most seats in the 2027 Nigerian Senate election?Yes1901.6¢8.5¢$16+$13$0
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?Yes40018¢4¢$16−$56$0
Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026?No2122¢70.5¢$14+$9.95$0
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?No2023¢58.5¢$12+$7.10$0
Will SB Energy's market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?Yes609.6¢19¢$11+$5.60$0
Will LAB reach $24 before 2027?Yes28017.5¢3.2¢$8.82−$40−$5.45
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?Yes11112.8¢7.8¢$8.57−$5.63+$8.51
Will Sameera Ali win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Yes4010.6¢19.5¢$7.80+$3.56+$83
Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election?Yes15029.6¢4.8¢$7.20−$37$0
Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes840¢77¢$5.78+$2.77+$7.92
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 2.2% and 2.4%?Yes580.8¢9.6¢$5.57+$5.08$0
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR?Yes2653.2¢2¢$5.16−$3.31$0
Will Marathon win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?No581¢87.5¢$4.38+$0.33$0
Will Bryan Paterson win the 2026 Kingston mayoral election?No16419.6¢2.3¢$3.77−$28+$210
USDC depeg by December 31?Yes1753.3¢1.5¢$2.62−$3.14+$1.07
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1136¢2.3¢$2.54−$4.23$0
Will Tencent be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Yes211¢8.2¢$1.70+$1.49$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?80¢34$2774%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?70¢197$13874%80Sharp
SELL YesWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?24¢469$11274%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Harj Dhaliwal win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?61.9¢916$56774%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?53.8¢106$5774%80Sharp
BUY NoWill Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of October 2026?45.2¢891$40274%80Sharp
BUY YesWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?11.2¢1,754$19774%80Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?35.6¢284$10174%80Sharp
SELL YesWill the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?24.6¢1,183$29174%80Sharp
SELL YesWill the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?29.9¢717$21474%80Sharp
BUY PARIVISIONDota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs88¢300$26474%80Sharp
BUY YesWill the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?16.2¢2,000$32474%80Sharp
SELL YesWill Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?65¢167$10974%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Isaias make landfall in Alabama as a hurricane?72¢182$13174%80Sharp
SELL NoWill Isaias make landfall in Louisiana as a hurricane?93.1¢239$22374%80Sharp
SELL YesWill Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?75.3¢600$45174%80Sharp
SELL YesWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?61.3¢271$16674%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher?52.6¢797$42074%80Sharp
BUY YesWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?51.4¢845$43474%80Sharp
SELL NoWill China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?84¢98$8274%80Sharp