PnL all-time+$1,508vol $79.5k
PnL 30d+$644gains $450 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$382win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate90.0%adj 63.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$37.3kcash n/a
Positions9 / 19open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 8mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,537below peak −$1,029Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 90.0% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable43
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 22.1k | 91¢ | 97¢ | $21.4k | +$1,315 | $0 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 7,000 | 91.4¢ | 97¢ | $6,787 | +$389 | $0 | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 2,215 | 84.7¢ | 96.3¢ | $2,133 | +$257 | $0 | |
| Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | No | 2,000 | 85¢ | 98¢ | $1,960 | +$260 | $0 | |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 4,266 | 87.9¢ | 45.5¢ | $1,941 | −$1,811 | $0 | |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | No | 2,000 | 82.5¢ | 93¢ | $1,860 | +$210 | $0 | |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 822 | 89¢ | 97.5¢ | $802 | +$70 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 1,237 | 81.7¢ | 28.4¢ | $351 | −$660 | +$57 | |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | Yes | 903 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$77 | $0 |
Recent trades
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