PnL all-time+$49.0kvol $2.41M
PnL 30d+$660gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$365win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate74.8%adj 71.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$61.5kcash n/a
Positions10 / 138open / all-time
Max drawdown−35.1%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$64.5kbelow peak −$19.6kOct 9
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale67
Adjusted win rateraw 74.8% · shrunk toward 50%79
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity65
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? · Yesclosed+$37.3kWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Noopen+$20.4kWill Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$11.8kWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$5,475Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$4,851
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 33.2k | 66.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $32.2k | +$10.2k | +$10.1k | |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 23.0k | 83¢ | 95.8¢ | $22.0k | +$2,932 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 185k | 2.1¢ | 3.1¢ | $5,633 | +$1,754 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 53.9k | 1.3¢ | 2.4¢ | $1,268 | +$581 | $0 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9,000 | 2.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $230 | +$25 | $0 | |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1,800 | 5.6¢ | 5.7¢ | $102 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 5,761 | 1.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $37 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 15.0k | 60¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,000 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,326 | 84¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,954 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | 757 | 53¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$401 | $0 |
Recent trades
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