PnL all-time+$2,557vol $598k
PnL 30d+$256gains $293 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$36win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate76.9%adj 75.6% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,074cash n/a
Positions5 / 389open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 76.9% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable86
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will TikTok be banned again before May? · Noclosed+$2,575US-China trade deal before June? · Noclosed+$1,291Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? · Noclosed+$1,167Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$1,018No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed+$697
Worst markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Noclosed−$2,684Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April? · Noclosed−$2,180Will Trump reduce or pause tariffs on China before June? · Noclosed−$1,140Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$1,018TikTok on App Store again before March? · Noclosed−$1,017
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 3,400 | 50¢ | 80¢ | $2,718 | +$1,018 | $0 | |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 3,400 | 50¢ | 20.1¢ | $682 | −$1,018 | $0 | |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31? | Yes | 521 | 79.3¢ | 86¢ | $448 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 31, 2026? | No | 160 | 95.1¢ | 95.9¢ | $153 | +$1.34 | $0 | |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 75 | 97¢ | 97.2¢ | $73 | +$0.11 | $0 |
Recent trades
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