sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,462

Machaon

0xe3e…8d04@0xMachaon
1y+PoliticsSportOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$8,676vol $1.97M
PnL 30d+$5.96gains $1,314 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$313win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate39.3%adj 39.7% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$4,849cash n/a
Positions31 / 740open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

60/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale56
Adjusted win rateraw 39.3% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable96
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d96
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 16

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes4,00065.2¢46.5¢$1,860−$750$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.0k11.2¢11.5¢$1,150+$30$0
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?No1,7997¢20.5¢$369+$243$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes2,00023.7¢13.5¢$269−$206$0
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?Yes80218¢30¢$241+$96$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,50022.9¢15.4¢$231−$113$0
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0005¢5.8¢$115+$14$0
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes57213.8¢19.5¢$112+$33$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes1,00032¢9.5¢$95−$225$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1,00016.1¢9¢$90−$72$0
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?Yes50046¢17.5¢$88−$143$0
Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes28622¢29¢$83+$20$0
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes10.0k2.5¢0.5¢$55−$193$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes10.0k3.4¢0.5¢$50−$287$0
Will Ronaldo play with Ronaldo Jr. before the end of 2026?Yes20018¢12¢$24−$12$0
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?No2191¢93.5¢$19+$0.52+$1.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?14.6¢340$5039%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?3.6¢304$1139%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?14¢855$12039%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?20¢185$3739%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?26¢773$20139%60
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?42¢1,024$43039%60
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?41¢51$2139%60
BUY YesWill STRC hit $100 by September 30?39¢5,130$2,00139%60
BUY NoWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?0.2¢486$0.9739%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?0.2¢2,000$4.0039%60
BUY NoWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?0.2¢3,000$6.0039%60
BUY YesWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?2.5¢50$1.2439%60
BUY NoWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?2¢86$1.7239%60
BUY NoWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?4.8¢253$1239%60
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?9¢854$7739%60
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?8.5¢600$5139%60
SELL YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?26¢13$3.3839%60
BUY YesWill Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?1.9¢30$0.5739%60
BUY YesWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?20¢260$5239%60
SELL NoWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?80¢500$40039%60