sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #1,752

supersmard

0xe3f…e1c1
PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$76.0kvol $1.84M
PnL 30d+$41.2kgains $48.7k · losses $4,763
PnL 7d+$8,032win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate64.8%adj 62.4% · 30d 69.2%
Open value$54.2kcash n/a
Positions85 / 190open / all-time
Max drawdown−22.7%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$85.0kbelow peak $0Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale70
Adjusted win rateraw 64.8% · shrunk toward 50%56
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable76
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity77

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 85

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes20.5k29.1¢37.5¢$7,701+$1,720$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes11.4k61.2¢61.5¢$7,025+$31−$140
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?No16.3k32.1¢38.5¢$6,294+$1,052$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes10.0k65¢62.5¢$6,250−$250$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?No30.0k13.5¢15.5¢$4,650+$600$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes5,77346.2¢79.5¢$4,589+$1,922+$1,704
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No7,00058¢61.5¢$4,305+$245$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes7,85530¢39.5¢$3,103+$743−$1.49
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes15.0k13¢15.5¢$2,325+$375$0
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No5,19733.1¢41.5¢$2,157+$436−$94
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes3,61345¢40.8¢$1,476−$150$0
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No5,00030¢28.5¢$1,425−$75$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes91.8k1.5¢0.9¢$827−$533−$348
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes2,70728.9¢27.5¢$745−$37+$0.42
Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes1,36230.3¢23.5¢$320−$92−$177
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No3,5878¢6.5¢$233−$54$0
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?Yes1,00221¢20¢$200−$10$0
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?Yes1,40426.8¢10¢$140−$236−$527
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes2,0475¢3.4¢$69−$34$0
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes1,0458¢6.5¢$68−$16$0
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026?No674¢88¢$59+$56+$12.7k
Will Ricardo Ruiz Velasco be arrested in 2026?No694¢85¢$59+$56+$20.9k
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No6065¢85.1¢$51+$12$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No17614¢26.5¢$47+$22$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes14014.1¢26.4¢$37+$17$0
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?No3077¢80¢$24+$0.90$0
Will Grüne be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?Yes2133¢94¢$20+$13$0
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government?Yes5028¢27¢$14−$0.50$0
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?No40.0k0.8¢0¢$0−$320−$1,663
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Yes19.6k13.5¢0¢$0−$2,638−$229
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No10,00028¢0¢$0−$2,800$0
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: More Votes to SPD or Grüne?Grüne9,82315.8¢0¢$0−$1,549−$51
Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes9,6545.7¢0¢$0−$546−$2.98
Will Finland win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes8,66521.1¢0¢$0−$1,831−$3.83
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)Côte d'Ivoire8,5364.4¢0¢$0−$376$0
Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes8,49259.2¢0¢$0−$5,027−$62
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?Yes8,0008¢0¢$0−$640$0
Trump renames New Mexico to New America by September 30, 2026?Yes8,0005¢0¢$0−$400−$0.31
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)Côte d'Ivoire7,6321.1¢0¢$0−$84$0
Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes6,21640.1¢0¢$0−$2,492−$18
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No6,13930.8¢0¢$0−$1,888−$3.62
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes5,99916¢0¢$0−$960$0
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes5,00016¢0¢$0−$800$0
Will BSW win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes?Yes4,99137.3¢0¢$0−$1,863−$5.88
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No4,99057¢0¢$0−$2,844$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes4,93212.4¢0¢$0−$610−$2.42
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes4,35127¢0¢$0−$1,175−$43
Will Linke win between 9% and 12% of all valid second votes?Yes4,11945.3¢0¢$0−$1,865+$1.80
Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%?Over4,06232.3¢0¢$0−$1,311−$21
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes3,90823.5¢0¢$0−$920−$14
Berlin State Election: AfD Over/Under 17%?Over3,55567.5¢0¢$0−$2,398−$5.22
Will CDU win between 23% and 26% of all valid second votes?Yes3,38833.5¢0¢$0−$1,133−$3.32
Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or AfD?AfD3,38628.8¢0¢$0−$976+$12
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke?CDU3,00921.1¢0¢$0−$635−$547
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026?Yes2,47612.7¢0¢$0−$314−$3.17
Will Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Yes2,42939.1¢0¢$0−$951+$46
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?Yes2,16114¢0¢$0−$303−$32
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes2,08321¢0¢$0−$437+$244
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No2,00082.1¢0¢$0−$1,642$0
Will CDU win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes1,77727.8¢0¢$0−$493−$0.67
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes1,65411.1¢0¢$0−$184−$0.05
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?Yes1,3995¢0¢$0−$70$0
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No1,06329.1¢0¢$0−$309$0
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes89520.3¢0¢$0−$182+$13
Will AfD win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?Yes78454.2¢0¢$0−$425−$2.12
Will AfD win between 39% and 42% of all valid second votes?Yes62838.8¢0¢$0−$244$0
Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?Yes61235.3¢0¢$0−$216−$71
Will The Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?Yes5940.9¢0¢$0−$5.16−$0.18
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes58214.7¢0¢$0−$86$0
Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes?Yes53853¢0¢$0−$285$0
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?Yes42215¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will SPD win between 13% and 16% of all valid second votes?Yes41624.5¢0¢$0−$102−$4.32
Will SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?Yes34629¢0¢$0−$100$0
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to BSW or Grüne?BSW29415¢0¢$0−$44−$20
Will Germany come in last place at Eurovision 2026?Yes2248.6¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Linke win between 20% and 23% of all valid second votes?Yes19848.7¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?Yes1119¢0¢$0−$10$0
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No10931¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?Yes984.6¢0¢$0−$4.51$0
Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No5222¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will BSW win less than 3% of all valid second votes?Yes4025¢0¢$0−$10−$0.30
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?Under2988¢0¢$0−$25−$0.12
Will Linke win the 2026 Berlin state election by a margin of 2-5%?Yes2025¢0¢$0−$5.00$0
Will Greece win the televote for Eurovision 2026?Yes610¢0¢$0−$0.59$0
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No542¢0¢$0−$2.10$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?45¢23.2k$10.5k65%67Whale
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢7,000$4,34065%67
SELL YesWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?87¢275$23965%67
BUY YesWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?86.4¢275$23765%67
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?30¢5,000$1,50065%67
BUY NoWill the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?37¢6,000$2,22065%67
BUY YesWill 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?29¢39$1165%67
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?13.3¢198$2665%67
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?12.1¢30$3.6365%67
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?12.1¢60$7.2565%67
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?11¢237$2665%67
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?11.9¢49$5.7765%67
SELL YesWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?30¢92$2865%67
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?29¢880$25565%67
SELL YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?35.3¢43$1565%67
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?30¢249$7565%67
SELL NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?33¢29$9.5365%67
BUY YesWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?11.1¢10$1.1165%67
BUY NoWill Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?49¢3,177$1,55665%67
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?60¢4,408$2,64565%67