PnL all-time+$156kvol $8.62M
PnL 30d−$320kgains $57.0k · losses $41.7k
PnL 7d−$161kwin rate 7d 64.2%
Win rate52.5%adj 52.4% · 30d 52.5%
Open value$5.82cash n/a
Positions5 / 34,576open / all-time
Max drawdown−51.4%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 31d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$358kbelow peak −$379kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 52.5% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$18.5kWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$6,649Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed+$5,630Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$2,630Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$2,357
Worst markets
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$10.9kWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$9,635Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noclosed−$8,314Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,364Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,364
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 10 | 1.6¢ | 21.5¢ | $2.15 | +$1.99 | $0 | |
| Will Steven Cheung be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 17 | 2.9¢ | 11¢ | $1.83 | +$1.34 | $0 | |
| Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 17 | 2.9¢ | 9.5¢ | $1.58 | +$1.09 | $0 | |
| Will Miriam Martínez Sánchez win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 21 | 2.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.13 | −$0.38 | $0 | |
| Will Josefina Rodríguez Zamora win the 2027 Tlaxcala Governor Election? | Yes | 21 | 2.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.13 | −$0.38 | $0 |
Recent trades
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