sharpside
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0xe41…29bd

0xe41…29bd
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$744vol $388k
PnL 30d−$6,264gains $2,380 · losses $3,333
PnL 7d−$6,796win rate 7d 70.0%
Win rate81.1%adj 76.2% · 30d 80.3%
Open value$164kcash n/a
Positions153 / 264open / all-time
Max drawdown−17.7%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$4,427below peak $0Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale41
Adjusted win rateraw 81.1% · shrunk toward 50%91
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity82

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No10.0k99.3¢100¢$10.0k+$70+$122
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?Yes4,36496¢97.8¢$4,268+$81$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?Yes4,24995.1¢93.1¢$3,954−$86$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?No3,27693.6¢97.3¢$3,186+$120+$3.08
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-01 House seat?Yes3,25094.9¢97.6¢$3,172+$87$0
Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes3,03096¢98.1¢$2,971+$62$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat?Yes3,06392.7¢96.5¢$2,954+$114$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?No2,86095¢98.9¢$2,827+$110$0
Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?Yes3,00096.5¢94¢$2,820−$75$0
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes2,80393.2¢96¢$2,691+$77$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-06 House seat?Yes2,78094.6¢96.2¢$2,674+$46$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?Yes2,73895¢97.6¢$2,671+$70+$6.27
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026?Yes2,60096.5¢97.4¢$2,531+$22+$5.07
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No3,00082.3¢82.5¢$2,475+$5.00$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?Yes2,52794.1¢97.5¢$2,463+$85+$4.67
Will the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?No2,51594¢97.6¢$2,453+$88+$2.27
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?Yes2,53392¢96.7¢$2,449+$119+$23
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?Yes2,52096.9¢96.7¢$2,437−$5.71$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?No2,43295¢96.9¢$2,355+$45$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat?No2,39095¢97.7¢$2,334+$63$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes2,12693¢96¢$2,040+$63+$0.93
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming governor race in 2026?Yes2,06896¢97.5¢$2,015+$30$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Yes2,08195¢95.5¢$1,986+$9.36$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No2,04793.8¢96.5¢$1,976+$55$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Yes2,10692¢93.5¢$1,969+$32$0
Will the Republican Party win the MA-01 House seat?No2,00095¢97.1¢$1,942+$42$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-06 House seat?No1,93095¢99.3¢$1,916+$82$0
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?Yes1,92594.8¢98.3¢$1,892+$68$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No2,00092.5¢94.5¢$1,890+$40+$30
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No2,00083¢94¢$1,880+$220$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?No1,89795¢97.7¢$1,853+$50+$3.34
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-07 House seat?Yes1,86195¢98.1¢$1,825+$57+$5.02
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No2,00090¢89¢$1,780−$20$0
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?Yes1,88293.1¢92.5¢$1,740−$12$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?No1,68695¢97.8¢$1,649+$47+$12
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?No1,69995¢95.5¢$1,622+$8.50$0
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,70593.7¢94.4¢$1,609+$10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-07 House seat?No1,65689.5¢95¢$1,573+$91$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-16 House seat?Yes1,59693¢95.8¢$1,529+$45$0
Will the Republicans win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026?No1,50395¢97.6¢$1,466+$38$0
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1,46993¢97.5¢$1,432+$66$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No1,79179¢78.5¢$1,406−$8.95$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-16 House seat?No1,44393¢96.5¢$1,392+$50$0
Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?Yes1,42294.8¢97.1¢$1,381+$33$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?Yes1,38794.9¢98.3¢$1,363+$47$0
Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No1,38995¢96.2¢$1,336+$16+$13
Will the Republican Party win the WI-08 House seat?Yes1,45284¢87.5¢$1,271+$51$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-09 House seat?Yes1,27695¢95.8¢$1,222+$9.57$0
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes1,16597.9¢100¢$1,164+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Yes1,21689.3¢94.5¢$1,149+$63$0
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?No1,16289¢97.8¢$1,136+$102$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes1,18294¢95.5¢$1,129+$18$0
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?No1,15393.6¢92.2¢$1,062−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?No1,10594¢96¢$1,061+$22$0
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No1,01594.3¢98.2¢$997+$40$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?Yes1,00096¢97.1¢$971+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-02 House seat?No1,00095¢97¢$970+$20$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,00093¢96.4¢$964+$34$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-13 House seat?Yes1,00095¢96¢$960+$10$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-13 House seat?No1,00095¢96¢$960+$10$0
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?No98395¢97.6¢$959+$25$0
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00094.9¢95.2¢$952+$3.00$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?No1,00092¢94.9¢$949+$29$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?No1,02091.9¢93.1¢$949+$12$0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?Yes98995.8¢95.8¢$947+$0.40$0
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?No1,00090.8¢94.1¢$941+$33$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Yes97095.6¢96.3¢$934+$5.88$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-04 House seat?Yes1,00090¢93¢$930+$30$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00087¢92.5¢$925+$55$0
Will the Republicans win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?No94395¢98.1¢$925+$29$0
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00091¢91.5¢$915+$5.00$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?No94094¢97.3¢$914+$31$0
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?Yes96193¢94.5¢$908+$14$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?No92591¢97.5¢$902+$60$0
Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?Yes91892.7¢96.8¢$888+$37$0
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?Yes1,00085¢88.5¢$885+$35$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-15 House seat?No91794¢96.3¢$883+$21$0
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00090¢87.5¢$875−$25$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No1,00083¢87.5¢$875+$45$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-03 House seat?Yes88794.8¢95.8¢$849+$8.11$0
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes1,04078¢81.5¢$848+$36$0
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat?Yes86694.7¢96.7¢$837+$17$0
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes1,00075¢82.5¢$825+$75$0
Will the Democrats win the Virginia Senate race in 2026?Yes84195¢97.8¢$822+$23$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes90791¢90.5¢$821−$4.53$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-01 House seat?Yes83396.5¢96.5¢$804−$0.37+$2.43
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No91090¢87.5¢$796−$23$0
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota governor race in 2026?Yes75595.5¢96.8¢$730+$9.54$0
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $300B by December 31?No75587¢96.7¢$730+$73$0
Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026?No74894.5¢97.4¢$729+$21$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes78087¢91.5¢$714+$35$0
Will the Republican Party win the AL-07 House seat?No67895¢99.5¢$674+$30+$55
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?Yes68794.1¢95.9¢$658+$12+$4.63
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes1,00066.9¢62.7¢$627−$42$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes1,00047¢61.5¢$615+$145$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IL-04 House seat?Yes62895.6¢97.2¢$611+$10$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes98058¢61.5¢$602+$34$0
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by December 31?No62591¢95¢$594+$25$0
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?Yes53093¢97.3¢$515+$23$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WI-06 House seat?No55387.4¢91.5¢$505+$22$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the MT-02 House seat?95¢2,360$2,24281%69
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the OH-06 House seat?95¢2,432$2,31081%69
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the IA-04 House seat?95¢1,699$1,61481%69
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the GA-09 House seat?95¢1,890$1,79681%69
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the FL-06 House seat?95¢1,430$1,35981%69
BUY YesWill the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?96¢1,000$96081%69
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?93¢2,151$2,00081%69
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?92¢2,059$1,89581%69
BUY NoWill Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?89.9¢70$6381%69
BUY YesWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?96.5¢1,000$96581%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the IL-05 House seat?98¢85$8381%69
SELL YesWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?98.2¢554$54481%69
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the IL-14 House seat?98.3¢58$5781%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the IL-14 House seat?98.3¢118$11681%69
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the MA-09 House seat?97.9¢5$4.8981%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the IL-17 House seat?97.9¢418$40981%69
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the AL-03 House seat?97.7¢262$25681%69
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?98.3¢118$11781%69
SELL NoWill the Republican Party win the IL-11 House seat?98.8¢354$35081%69
SELL YesWill the Republican Party win the WY-AL House seat?98.4¢44$4381%69