| Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 657 | 42¢ | 53¢ | $348 | +$72 | −$0.09 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 212 | 84.2¢ | 83.8¢ | $177 | −$1.04 | $0 | |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 581 | 36.7¢ | 30.5¢ | $177 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 581 | 22.5¢ | 29.5¢ | $171 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement? | Yes | 170 | 48.5¢ | 88.8¢ | $151 | +$69 | $0 | |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 581 | 20¢ | 24.5¢ | $142 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 24 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 657 | 21¢ | 19.5¢ | $128 | −$9.86 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 173 | 26.4¢ | 67.9¢ | $117 | +$72 | $0 | |
| Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 657 | 12.2¢ | 17.5¢ | $115 | +$35 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-13? | Yes | 90 | 86¢ | 90¢ | $81 | +$3.60 | $0 | |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 97 | 37.8¢ | 81.5¢ | $79 | +$42 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 182 | 41.9¢ | 42¢ | $76 | +$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 105 | 61¢ | 55.5¢ | $58 | −$5.73 | −$0.90 | |
| Will there be fewer than 20 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 662 | 18.1¢ | 8¢ | $53 | −$67 | $0 | |
| Will the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 581 | 7.1¢ | 8.9¢ | $52 | +$10 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 181 | 26¢ | 26.5¢ | $48 | +$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 174 | 2.7¢ | 25.9¢ | $45 | +$40 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | Yes | 220 | 12¢ | 20.5¢ | $45 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | Yes | 220 | 12¢ | 20¢ | $44 | +$18 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T? | Yes | 220 | 16.8¢ | 15.8¢ | $35 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 104 | 20.4¢ | 32.5¢ | $34 | +$13 | +$4.86 | |
| Will Real Betis Seville vs. AD Ceuta end in a draw? | Yes | 40 | 60¢ | 84.5¢ | $34 | +$9.72 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 182 | 15.2¢ | 17.8¢ | $32 | +$4.78 | $0 | |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | Yes | 72 | 37.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $32 | +$5.08 | −$1.06 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? | Yes | 220 | 3.3¢ | 14.2¢ | $31 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | Yes | 70 | 17¢ | 44.5¢ | $31 | +$19 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | 70 | 12.8¢ | 43¢ | $30 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw? | Yes | 72 | 29¢ | 30.5¢ | $22 | +$1.08 | −$1.79 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 42¢ | 54.5¢ | $22 | +$5.00 | $0 | |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 211 | 8¢ | 9.7¢ | $20 | +$3.49 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T? | Yes | 220 | 1.9¢ | 9¢ | $20 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 40 | 27.5¢ | 49¢ | $20 | +$8.60 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T? | Yes | 220 | 23¢ | 8.9¢ | $19 | −$31 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 180 | 11.1¢ | 10.5¢ | $19 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 27¢ | 45.5¢ | $18 | +$7.40 | $0 | |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16? | Yes | 74 | 29.1¢ | 24.5¢ | $18 | −$3.40 | $0 | |
| Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 97 | 46.4¢ | 18.2¢ | $18 | −$27 | $0 | |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 20 | 6¢ | 83.4¢ | $17 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Will the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 584 | 3.4¢ | 2.8¢ | $16 | −$3.91 | $0 | |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 211 | 5¢ | 7.1¢ | $15 | +$4.44 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.5T? | Yes | 220 | 2¢ | 6.3¢ | $14 | +$9.49 | $0 | |
| Will Sydney FC win on 2026-10-16? | Yes | 29 | 42¢ | 45¢ | $13 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will P versus NP be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | Yes | 581 | 3.6¢ | 2.3¢ | $13 | −$8.12 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 40 | 30¢ | 29¢ | $12 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | Yes | 171 | 18.6¢ | 6.3¢ | $11 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | Yes | 170 | 9.4¢ | 5.4¢ | $9.08 | −$6.88 | $0 | |
| Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-10-16? | Yes | 30 | 27¢ | 29.5¢ | $8.85 | +$0.75 | $0 | |
| Will MUNDO-GB
win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 340 | 5¢ | 2.6¢ | $8.85 | −$8.17 | −$0.87 | |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? | Yes | 220 | 22¢ | 3.8¢ | $8.26 | −$40 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | Yes | 70 | 18¢ | 11¢ | $7.70 | −$4.90 | $0 | |
| Will Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw? | Yes | 29 | 26¢ | 25.5¢ | $7.39 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 16-19 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 172 | 49¢ | 4¢ | $6.90 | −$78 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? | Yes | 106 | 7.7¢ | 6.4¢ | $6.76 | −$1.46 | −$0.53 | |
| Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-07-25? | Yes | 10 | 47.4¢ | 61.5¢ | $6.23 | +$1.43 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 27¢ | 27.5¢ | $5.50 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 19¢ | 26.5¢ | $5.30 | +$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 17¢ | 26.5¢ | $5.30 | +$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will Real Betis Seville win on 2026-10-01? | Yes | 39 | 22¢ | 12.5¢ | $4.89 | −$3.72 | $0 | |
| Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | 193 | 2.9¢ | 2.5¢ | $4.74 | −$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%? | Yes | 70 | 12.1¢ | 6.4¢ | $4.45 | −$4.05 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 107 | 3.1¢ | 3.7¢ | $3.97 | +$0.61 | −$1.10 | |
| Will Hungary win on 2026-10-13? | Yes | 90 | 5¢ | 4.1¢ | $3.65 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will Netherlands vs. Hungary end in a draw? | Yes | 90 | 6¢ | 3.5¢ | $3.10 | −$2.29 | $0 | |
| Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | 32.4¢ | $2.92 | +$2.10 | $0 | |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 20 | 14¢ | 14.1¢ | $2.81 | +$0.01 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.25 and $2.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 13.9¢ | $2.77 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank 6th or higher among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 40 | 18¢ | 6.5¢ | $2.60 | −$4.60 | $0 | |
| Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 50 | 12¢ | 4.9¢ | $2.44 | −$3.54 | −$9.66 | |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC vs. Atlético Nacional end in a draw? | Yes | 10 | 27.5¢ | 23.5¢ | $2.35 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank below 15th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 40 | 8.4¢ | 5.6¢ | $2.23 | −$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | 112 | 1.8¢ | 1.8¢ | $2.01 | −$0.05 | −$1.60 | |
| Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 5 | 31¢ | 39¢ | $1.95 | +$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9.6¢ | 8.7¢ | $1.74 | −$0.18 | $0 | |
| Will 2026 rank between 13th and 15th among the highest domestic box office years? | Yes | 40 | 7¢ | 4.2¢ | $1.68 | −$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-06? | Yes | 5 | 23¢ | 33.5¢ | $1.68 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-07-25? | Yes | 10 | 19¢ | 15.5¢ | $1.55 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 230,000 and 245,000? | No | 1 | 89.4¢ | 99.7¢ | $1.46 | +$0.15 | −$0.46 | |
| Will Jean-Michel Basquiat be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 97 | 3.7¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.41 | −$2.19 | $0 | |
| Will New York City FC vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw? | Yes | 5 | 36¢ | 26.5¢ | $1.32 | −$0.47 | $0 | |
| Will AD Ceuta win on 2026-10-01? | Yes | 40 | 14¢ | 2.9¢ | $1.16 | −$4.44 | $0 | |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.00 and $2.25 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 11¢ | 5.5¢ | $1.10 | −$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 6 | 30.7¢ | 19¢ | $1.06 | −$0.66 | −$43 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 0.7¢ | 0.7¢ | $1.05 | −$0.04 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Warhol be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? | Yes | 97 | 3.7¢ | 1.1¢ | $1.02 | −$2.56 | $0 | |
| Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31? | Yes | 667 | 5.6¢ | 0.2¢ | $1.00 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will the match end in a draw? | No | 1 | 91.7¢ | 77.4¢ | $0.78 | −$0.14 | −$124 | |
| Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 30%-35%? | Yes | 9 | 9.1¢ | 7.6¢ | $0.68 | −$0.13 | $0 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.3%? | Yes | 70 | 12.5¢ | 1¢ | $0.67 | −$8.08 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 20-23 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 171 | 8.7¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.60 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 6¢ | 1.3¢ | $0.50 | −$1.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 40 | 8.5¢ | 1.3¢ | $0.50 | −$2.90 | $0 | |
| Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | Yes | 41 | 4.6¢ | 0.8¢ | $0.30 | −$1.58 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 2 | 16.9¢ | 12.6¢ | $0.28 | −$0.10 | +$2,076 | |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than or equal to 0.0%? | Yes | 70 | 15.8¢ | 0.4¢ | $0.28 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? | Yes | 18 | 10.9¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.11 | −$1.89 | −$9.91 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 190 | 0.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.10 | −$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 186 | 1.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$2.99 | $0 | |
| Will Waymo operate in 24-27 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | 180 | 4.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.09 | −$7.91 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 8.7¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 150 | 0.9¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$1.28 | $0 | |