PnL all-time+$109vol $7,771
PnL 30d+$14gains $5.69 · losses $5.17
PnL 7d+$1.20win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.3%adj 64.0% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$243cash n/a
Positions2 / 32open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 18h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$123below peak −$40Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale29
Adjusted win rateraw 73.3% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable50
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d97
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$80Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$28Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election? · Noclosed+$22Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Noclosed+$20Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? · Noclosed+$19
Worst markets
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yesclosed−$100Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed−$14Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Noclosed−$5.05Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more? · Noclosed−$4.03Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? · Yesclosed−$3.19
Open positions · 2
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 142 | 91.7¢ | 99.9¢ | $142 | +$12 | $0 | |
| Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | No | 103 | 96.9¢ | 97.9¢ | $101 | +$1.06 | $0 |
Recent trades
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