PnL all-time−$1.50Mvol $8.09M
PnL 30d+$2,892gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,368win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate41.5%adj 44.3% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$31.7kcash n/a
Positions6 / 47open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.7%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 9d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1.50Mbelow peak −$140kOct 8
SharpScore inputs
15/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 41.5% · shrunk toward 50%11
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d69
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity90
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$163kWill Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson? · Yesclosed+$67.6kWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yesclosed+$49.5k2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House · Yesclosed+$44.0kTulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? · Yesclosed+$32.2k
Worst markets
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$1.68MTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Yesclosed−$51.4kWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$31.2kWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · Yesclosed−$26.6kWill Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 · Yesclosed−$20.9k
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 622k | 2.8¢ | 2.7¢ | $16.5k | −$711 | $0 | |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 254k | 2.7¢ | 2.1¢ | $5,206 | −$1,623 | $0 | |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | No | 9,451 | 34.1¢ | 42.5¢ | $4,017 | +$798 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 7,995 | 31.4¢ | 42.5¢ | $3,398 | +$885 | $0 | |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 138k | 1.7¢ | 1.7¢ | $2,271 | −$46 | $0 | |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 105k | 1.6¢ | 0.4¢ | $367 | −$1,295 | $0 |
Recent trades
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