Traders/Rank #2,756

hithitfar

0xe53…e569@Zhuzhaoqian666

SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+CryptoSportOther

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$12.2kvol $671k

PnL 30d+$9,638gains $2,022 · losses $584

PnL 7d+$3,624win rate 7d 61.3%

Win rate60.8%adj 60.4% · 30d 60.8%

Open value$21.4kcash n/a

Positions585 / 4,039open / all-time

Max drawdown−9.0%of equity peak

Account age6molast trade 2m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$14.7kbelow peak $0Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58

Adjusted win rateraw 60.8% · shrunk toward 50%51

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Messi score 1+ goals vs. Benin? · Yesclosed+$258 Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31? · Yesclosed+$101 Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? · Yesclosed+$91 Spread: Nebraska (-0.5) · Indianaopen+$91 Bolivia vs. Gambia: Gambia O/U 0.5 · Overclosed+$91

Worst markets

Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $12.75B by September 30? · Yesopen−$163 Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yesopen−$158 Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027? · Yesopen−$131 Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yesopen−$123 Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026? · Noopen−$82

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	1,121	89.1¢	92.5¢	$1,037	+$38	−$0.41	3mo
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $500B by December 31?	No	679	93.8¢	96.1¢	$652	+$16	+$2.98	3mo
Printr FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	626	91¢	91¢	$569	−$0.06	+$2.47	15mo
Spread: Nebraska (-0.5)	Indiana	570	58¢	74¢	$422	+$91	$0	4h 17m
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	432	92.1¢	95.1¢	$411	+$13	+$4.92	3mo
Printr FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	424	87¢	91¢	$386	+$17	$0	15mo
Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	437	83.7¢	86.8¢	$379	+$13	+$6.04	15mo
Will over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	405	90.2¢	93.5¢	$379	+$13	−$1.20	3mo
Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	396	89.5¢	92.5¢	$366	+$12	−$4.36	3mo
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?	No	340	96.5¢	98.5¢	$335	+$6.66	−$0.53	4mo
Will Revolut's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	No	344	95.2¢	95.4¢	$328	+$0.35	$0	3mo
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	342	76.3¢	94.5¢	$323	+$62	+$5.77	3mo
Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 113m by October 31?	No	324	92.7¢	94.9¢	$307	+$6.88	+$3.38	21d 4h
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	316	94.6¢	96.7¢	$305	+$6.39	+$1.35	3mo
Spread: Iowa State (-0.5)	BYU	380	58¢	80¢	$304	+$84	$0	4h 17m
Amazon 2026 capex above $180B?	Yes	316	94.2¢	94.8¢	$299	+$1.77	+$0.89	7mo
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	381	88¢	78¢	$298	−$38	$0	15mo
Will over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	No	311	90.2¢	93.8¢	$292	+$11	+$0.14	3mo
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	294	95.9¢	97.7¢	$287	+$5.20	$0	3mo
Huddle FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	288	94.7¢	98.2¢	$283	+$9.99	+$0.71	3mo
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?	No	281	96.7¢	97.8¢	$275	+$3.23	−$0.08	3mo
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	No	272	94.5¢	96.2¢	$262	+$4.71	+$0.59	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?	No	265	97.1¢	98.4¢	$261	+$3.31	$0	3mo
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii by November 30, 2026?	No	390	88.1¢	65.5¢	$255	−$88	+$6.53	59d 4h
Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	250	97.6¢	99.2¢	$248	+$3.81	$0	3mo
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?	No	232	95.1¢	98.1¢	$228	+$6.94	$0	3mo
Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	267	77.7¢	81¢	$217	+$8.92	$0	15mo
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $125B by December 31?	No	208	93¢	93¢	$193	−$0.05	+$0.23	3mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?	Yes	479	54.6¢	39.5¢	$189	−$72	−$5.94	3mo
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	233	80.5¢	81¢	$189	+$1.13	+$12	15mo
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	No	192	93.6¢	97.3¢	$187	+$7.11	+$0.39	5mo
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?	No	179	96.6¢	93.7¢	$168	−$5.22	+$0.31	3mo
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?	No	163	92.3¢	97.8¢	$159	+$8.97	−$0.66	3mo
Will Zcash dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	161	72.9¢	95.4¢	$154	+$36	+$1.69	3mo
Indiana vs. Nebraska	Nebraska	570	27¢	26.5¢	$151	−$2.85	$0	4h 17m
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	No	155	97.1¢	97.5¢	$151	+$0.60	+$2.85	3mo
Will OnRe launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	166	85.2¢	90.5¢	$150	+$8.77	$0	3mo
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	No	145	93¢	98.3¢	$142	+$7.68	−$2.64	3mo
Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	137	96.6¢	97.9¢	$134	+$1.79	$0	3mo
Printr FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	146	91.4¢	90.5¢	$132	−$1.36	+$2.77	15mo
Will OnRe launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	190	77.5¢	66¢	$125	−$22	−$109	12mo
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	No	130	88.4¢	93.4¢	$122	+$6.45	−$6.20	3mo
Huddle FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	123	95.1¢	97.9¢	$120	+$3.47	+$7.99	3mo
Spread: North Carolina (-0.5)	Pittsburgh	190	56¢	63¢	$120	+$13	$0	4h 17m
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	129	91.9¢	92.5¢	$119	+$0.76	$0	3mo
Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?	Yes	1,742	7.4¢	6.5¢	$113	−$16	+$6.65	3mo
Printr FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	119	94.1¢	95.5¢	$113	+$1.71	+$0.19	15mo
Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?	No	112	94.5¢	94.6¢	$106	+$0.03	−$1.02	3mo
Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	104	91.2¢	98¢	$102	+$7.08	+$2.45	3mo
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	103	96¢	98.9¢	$102	+$2.89	$0	3mo
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	128	77.3¢	78.5¢	$101	+$1.50	+$2.42	15mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31?	Yes	208	65.6¢	47.5¢	$99	−$38	−$27	3mo
Hyperbeat FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	100	97.7¢	97.8¢	$98	+$0.10	$0	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?	No	96	96.7¢	98.8¢	$95	+$1.99	$0	3mo
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	No	98	95¢	96.4¢	$94	+$1.32	$0	3mo
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	95	96.6¢	96.6¢	$92	−$0.07	$0	15mo
Will Sui reach $1.80 before 2027?	No	154	81.6¢	57¢	$88	−$38	−$1.82	3mo
Spread: UCF (-0.5)	Oklahoma State	110	64¢	79.5¢	$87	+$17	$0	4h 17m
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	93	92.4¢	92.8¢	$86	+$0.42	$0	3mo
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	490	18.4¢	17.5¢	$86	−$4.40	$0	15mo
Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	383	63.2¢	22¢	$84	−$158	$0	15mo
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	No	116	69.2¢	72¢	$83	+$3.25	+$0.49	3mo
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?	No	135	55.1¢	61.5¢	$83	+$8.58	$0	3mo
Will Tyler Shough have 23.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	119	56.4¢	69.5¢	$83	+$16	+$7.07	4mo
Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?	No	161	60.3¢	50¢	$81	−$17	+$5.51	3mo
Ethereal FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	106	71¢	76¢	$80	+$5.29	$0	15mo
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	80	96.9¢	98.2¢	$79	+$1.08	$0	3mo
Will LAB reach $22 before 2027?	No	81	81.9¢	96.4¢	$78	+$12	+$3.57	3mo
Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	95	79¢	82¢	$78	+$2.85	$0	15mo
Spread: Missouri (-0.5)	Missouri	121	54¢	62.5¢	$75	+$10	$0	4h 17m
Will Jayden Reed have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	86	63.1¢	88¢	$75	+$21	+$0.74	4mo
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?	No	80	94¢	93.9¢	$75	−$0.08	$0	3mo
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?	No	76	97.1¢	98.7¢	$75	+$1.21	$0	3mo
Will OnRe launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	136	85.2¢	55¢	$75	−$41	−$0.05	6mo
Iowa State vs. BYU	Iowa State	380	22.5¢	19.5¢	$74	−$11	$0	4h 17m
Will Pluralis launch a token by March 31, 2027?	Yes	250	78¢	29¢	$72	−$122	−$0.78	6mo
Will XRP reach $3.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	75	93.2¢	96.1¢	$72	+$2.14	$0	3mo
Noble FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	82	90¢	88¢	$72	−$1.63	$0	15mo
North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh	North Carolina	190	38¢	37.5¢	$71	−$0.95	$0	4h 17m
Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?	No	105	54¢	66.5¢	$70	+$13	−$0.62	22d 4h
Will Jaxson Dart have 2,900.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	72	95.9¢	97.1¢	$70	+$0.86	−$0.22	4mo
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	701	7.3¢	9.5¢	$66	+$15	+$1.11	15mo
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	103	87.9¢	63¢	$65	−$26	−$0.85	15mo
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	66	85.7¢	96.3¢	$64	+$7.03	+$16	3mo
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	74	85.2¢	85.5¢	$63	+$0.22	−$2.13	15mo
Will Sui reach $1.60 before 2027?	Yes	159	16¢	39¢	$62	+$37	+$3.65	3mo
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027?	No	67	89.7¢	90.5¢	$60	+$0.52	$0	3mo
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	437	13.9¢	13.5¢	$59	−$1.70	−$1.76	15mo
Will Jayden Reed have 649.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	67	84.4¢	87.5¢	$59	+$2.06	$0	4mo
Saturn FDV above $700M one day after launch	No	61	95.8¢	95¢	$58	−$0.49	$0	15mo
Sabah FK vs. Aarhus GF: Aarhus GF O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	116	37.5¢	50¢	$58	+$14	−$0.55	ended
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	Yes	135	36.6¢	43¢	$58	+$8.55	$0	3mo
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by October 31?	No	58	91¢	97.6¢	$56	+$3.79	+$0.16	22d 4h
Will Pluralis launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	141	67.9¢	38.5¢	$54	−$41	$0	12mo
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	57	94¢	95¢	$54	+$0.57	$0	3mo
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026	No	57	91¢	93.2¢	$53	+$1.26	+$6.17	52d 4h
Will Chaos Labs launch a token by March 31, 2027?	No	57	86.6¢	91.5¢	$52	+$2.77	+$2.28	6mo
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	56	92.9¢	93¢	$52	+$0.03	+$1.25	3mo
Will Marvin Harrison Jr. have 1,224.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	57	80¢	90.5¢	$52	+$5.98	$0	3mo
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $70B by December 31?	No	59	84¢	85¢	$51	+$0.62	+$16	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
2m ago	BUY No	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	54¢	33	$18	61%	72	Sharp
2m ago	BUY No	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	53¢	33	$17	61%	72	Sharp
13m ago	BUY No	SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027?	53¢	10	$5.30	61%	72	Sharp
32m ago	BUY Oregon State	Spread: San Diego State (-17.5)	60¢	5	$3.05	61%	72	Sharp
44m ago	BUY No	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 40+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	58¢	5	$3.16	61%	72	Sharp
48m ago	SELL No	Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $9B?	21.6¢	22	$4.72	61%	72	Sharp
48m ago	SELL Yes	Will RTX (RTX) Q3 Pratt & Whitney sales be above $8.5B?	82¢	22	$18	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	96.6¢	95	$92	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Will Ashton Jeanty have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	55.8¢	19	$11	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Romeo Doubs have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	86.8¢	19	$16	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	SELL No	Will Romeo Doubs have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	23¢	19	$4.36	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	56¢	57	$32	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Yes	Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q3 net interest income be above $1.075B?	58¢	19	$11	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	SELL Yes	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 35+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	26¢	6	$1.50	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	SELL No	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 40+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	78¢	6	$4.51	61%	72	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Will Cristiano Ronaldo score 40+ goals in the 2026-27 season?	65¢	6	$3.76	61%	72	Sharp
2h ago	SELL No	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	53¢	19	$10	61%	72	Sharp
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.05B?	51¢	19	$9.66	61%	72	Sharp
2h ago	SELL No	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?	74¢	35	$26	61%	72	Sharp
2h ago	SELL Yes	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?	29.1¢	35	$10	61%	72	Sharp