PnL all-time−$2,050vol $189k
PnL 30d−$1,621gains $529 · losses $2,591
PnL 7d+$240win rate 7d 36.8%
Win rate47.2%adj 47.4% · 30d 47.6%
Open value$3,320cash n/a
Positions5 / 246open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age40dlast trade 9h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,694below peak −$1,735Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 47.2% · shrunk toward 50%18
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable80
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? · Yesopen+$151Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? · Yesclosed+$117US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yesclosed+$49Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yesclosed+$46Trump renames AI by September 30? · Noclosed+$35
Worst markets
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Best Country at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards? · Noclosed−$283Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? · Yesclosed−$268Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Noclosed−$239Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? · Yesclosed−$221Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Fire? · Yesclosed−$171
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 3,000 | 54¢ | 53.5¢ | $1,605 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 1,341 | 56¢ | 61.5¢ | $824 | +$73 | +$77 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 706 | 59.4¢ | 57.5¢ | $406 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | 800 | 46.9¢ | 47.5¢ | $380 | +$4.85 | $0 | |
| Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or? | No | 1,701 | 8.2¢ | 6.2¢ | $105 | −$36 | −$40 |
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