sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,024

Giannis2026

0xe5b…1e3e
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$58.0kvol $676k
PnL 30d+$11.8kgains $10.2k · losses $218
PnL 7d+$2,644win rate 7d 83.3%
Win rate88.2%adj 84.8% · 30d 85.7%
Open value$71.0kcash n/a
Positions202 / 414open / all-time
Max drawdown−6.3%of equity peak
Account age5.8ylast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$71.8kbelow peak $0Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

89/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 88.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable87
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No6,29562.7¢94¢$5,914+$1,964+$1,022
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes6,02254.1¢95¢$5,721+$2,462−$56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No6,50070¢83.5¢$5,427+$880$0
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No3,58360.2¢93.5¢$3,350+$1,194$0
Will GameStop acquire eBay?No3,03384.8¢94.5¢$2,866+$293$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes4,01961.8¢61.5¢$2,472−$10$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes4,00061.4¢56.5¢$2,260−$195$0
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No2,10072.1¢95.5¢$2,005+$491$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No2,00059.5¢94.5¢$1,890+$700$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No2,00086.5¢93.5¢$1,870+$140$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No2,00090¢90.5¢$1,810+$10$0
Cuban regime falls in 2026?No2,00078.5¢89.5¢$1,790+$220$0
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No1,85072¢95.5¢$1,767+$435+$150
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No2,50067.8¢68.5¢$1,712+$18$0
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes11.0k7¢14.5¢$1,595+$825$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,00081.5¢75¢$1,500−$130$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No2,52946.9¢56.5¢$1,429+$243$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes1,60068.5¢87.6¢$1,401+$305$0
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,70041¢80.5¢$1,368+$672$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No1,50074¢90.5¢$1,358+$248$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No1,50057.7¢84¢$1,260+$395$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No1,50052.8¢83¢$1,245+$452$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No1,63163¢75.5¢$1,232+$203$0
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,50077.3¢73.5¢$1,103−$57$0
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No1,12476.7¢96.5¢$1,085+$223+$72
US strike on Cuba by December 31?No1,20059.3¢89.5¢$1,074+$362$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?No1,20069¢89.5¢$1,074+$246$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No1,00086.5¢99¢$990+$125$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No1,00089¢93.5¢$935+$45$0
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00043.5¢42.5¢$850−$20$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes93081¢90.5¢$842+$88+$3.88
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No1,00076¢82¢$820+$60$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes1,50039.2¢53.8¢$807+$219$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes7,5009.4¢10.4¢$776+$68$0
Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5Over1,60050.4¢47.5¢$760−$46$0
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No1,00049.5¢75.5¢$755+$260$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No72886.4¢97.4¢$709+$80+$288
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?No75070.3¢93.5¢$701+$174$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes80027.5¢86.9¢$695+$475$0
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes85243.1¢71.6¢$610+$243$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes80063¢64.5¢$516+$12$0
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?No70636¢65.5¢$462+$208$0
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No50085.4¢90.1¢$451+$24$0
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes50058¢80.5¢$402+$112$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00026.5¢37.5¢$375+$110$0
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes1,00060.6¢32.5¢$325−$281−$101
Set Handicap: Alexander Zverev (-1.5) vs Alexander Bublik (+1.5)Alexander Bublik50054¢36.5¢$182−$87$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander BublikAlexander Bublik1,00028¢12.5¢$125−$155$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes5,0001.2¢1.7¢$82+$22$0
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes50073¢11¢$55−$310$0
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes71827.2¢7.3¢$52−$143−$42
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)Seahawks8153¢53.5¢$43+$0.41$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes1,0006.3¢4¢$39−$23$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,5002.4¢2.5¢$37+$0.75$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No2418¢85.5¢$21+$16$0
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes4418¢20.5¢$9.01+$1.10$0
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes60159¢0.1¢$0.30−$355$0
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes522.4¢0.1¢$0.03−$1.23$0
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes7,3574.6¢0¢$0−$341$0
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes4,0004.3¢0¢$0−$174$0
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes2,67362.5¢0¢$0−$1,670$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes2,62938¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes2,5180.7¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?Yes2,50019.6¢0¢$0−$491$0
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?Yes2,06165.2¢0¢$0−$1,343−$23
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)Indiana2,00050¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes2,0000.6¢0¢$0−$12−$0.42
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes2,00015¢0¢$0−$300$0
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar KovacevicAleksandar Kovacevic2,00010.7¢0¢$0−$215$0
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes2,0003.3¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes1,9175¢0¢$0−$96$0
BNP Paribas Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances TiafoeFlavio Cobolli1,70043.7¢0¢$0−$743$0
Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes1,6920.4¢0¢$0−$6.60$0
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian MannarinoAdrian Mannarino1,60020¢0¢$0−$320$0
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur FilsTommy Paul1,60042¢0¢$0−$672$0
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes1,5005.5¢0¢$0−$83$0
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet1,50067¢0¢$0−$1,005$0
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes1,50023¢0¢$0−$345$0
Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander ZverevFrancisco Cerundolo1,50025¢0¢$0−$375$0
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Vit KoprivaVit Kopriva1,50059.7¢0¢$0−$895$0
US forces enter Iran by December 31?No1,50029¢0¢$0−$435$0
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,5002¢0¢$0−$30−$0.46
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes1,5002.1¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes1,50029¢0¢$0−$435$0
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes1,5004.1¢0¢$0−$61$0
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Tomas EtcheverryTomas Etcheverry1,40042.7¢0¢$0−$598$0
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin LandaluceMartin Landaluce1,40042.4¢0¢$0−$594$0
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime1,24062¢0¢$0−$769$0
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Stan WawrinkaStan Wawrinka1,20030¢0¢$0−$360$0
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances TiafoeRinky Hijikata1,20022¢0¢$0−$264$0
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevAndrey Rublev1,20052.3¢0¢$0−$628$0
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo BerrettiniDaniil Medvedev1,20066¢0¢$0−$792$0
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco ComesanaFrancisco Comesana1,20034¢0¢$0−$408$0
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes1,2002.6¢0¢$0−$31$0
China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Novak DjokovicAlexander Zverev1,20057¢0¢$0−$684$0
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes1,1501.8¢0¢$0−$21−$0.10
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco ComesanaFrancisco Comesana1,10032.4¢0¢$0−$356$0
Roland Garros ATP: Yibing Wu vs Marcos GironMarcos Giron1,10049.3¢0¢$0−$542$0
Will Lauri Saaskilahti Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?Yes1,05714.5¢0¢$0−$153$0
Will North Carolina win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes1,0300.7¢0¢$0−$7.21$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?95¢546$51988%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?97.6¢728$71188%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?97.3¢728$70988%89Sharp
BUY UnderBills vs. Rams: O/U 54.547¢500$23588%89Sharp
SELL NoIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?96¢375$36088%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.6¢512$49488%89Sharp
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?95¢650$61888%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?95¢800$76088%89Sharp
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?95¢474$45088%89Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢600$37288%89Sharp
SELL NoClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?95¢356$33888%89Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?38¢40$1588%89Sharp
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?62¢2,419$1,50088%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.7¢692$66988%89Sharp
SELL YesWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?97.8¢302$29688%89Sharp
BUY NoWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by December 31?36¢400$14488%89Sharp
BUY YesWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?7¢5,000$35088%89Sharp
BUY YesWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?7¢6,000$42088%89Sharp
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?96.6¢840$81188%89Sharp
SELL YesWill there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?98.1¢106$10488%89Sharp