sharpside
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Traders/Rank #19,799

Kaiji123

0xe5b…339a
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$6,651vol $3.02M
PnL 30d−$19.8kgains $44.6k · losses $44.0k
PnL 7d−$437win rate 7d 21.3%
Win rate12.8%adj 14.3% · 30d 15.1%
Open value$5,393cash n/a
Positions47 / 2,999open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 2mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,716below peak −$6,917Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 12.8% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 47

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,4996.4¢67¢$2,345+$2,121+$16
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes84319.9¢89.7¢$756+$588+$80
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,4585.9¢19¢$655+$453−$5.03
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,4085.6¢11.5¢$392+$203+$5.03
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢22.5¢$225+$205$0
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢19.5¢$195+$175$0
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢13.3¢$133+$113$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,4105.4¢3.7¢$124−$61−$9.36
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢9.5¢$95+$75$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢7.9¢$79+$59$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes8046.6¢8.9¢$71+$18+$19
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢7¢$71+$51$0
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢5.6¢$56+$36$0
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢3.8¢$38+$18$0
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢2.9¢$30+$9.50$0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢2.6¢$26+$6.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,1295.2¢0.7¢$20−$143−$33
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢1.8¢$18−$2.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢1.2¢$12−$8.00$0
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes2,8515.6¢0.3¢$7.13−$151−$34
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,5005.6¢0.2¢$7.00−$187$0
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes8604.8¢0.7¢$6.02−$36+$5.27
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.5¢$5.50−$15$0
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.5¢$5.50−$15$0
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes3,32150¢0.2¢$4.98−$1,655−$85
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.4¢$4.00−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.4¢$4.00−$16$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.3¢$3.00−$17$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.2¢$2.00−$18$0
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes8253.4¢0.2¢$1.24−$27+$7.77
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?Yes2,2515.6¢0.1¢$1.13−$124−$68
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes7002.3¢0.2¢$1.05−$15−$3.69
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.1¢$0.50−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0.1¢$0.50−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes7632.2¢0.1¢$0.38−$17−$6.07
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes7151.9¢0.1¢$0.36−$13−$5.65
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes3013.7¢0.1¢$0.15−$11−$25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,00050¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,00050¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?Yes1,0002¢0¢$0−$20$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes52¢0¢$0−$0.10−$19

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢100$10013%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢175$17513%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?96.9¢50$4813%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢100$10013%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢175$17513%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.3¢10$9.9313%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?96.9¢50$4813%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢175$17513%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢100$10013%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?96.9¢50$4813%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.2¢20$2013%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢175$17513%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?99.9¢100$10013%19
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?96.9¢50$4813%19
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?74¢51$3713%19
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?11¢1,000$11013%19
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?12¢33$3.9313%19
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?13¢500$6513%19
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?18¢150$2713%19
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?1.1¢81$0.8913%19