PnL all-time−$3,920vol $466k
PnL 30d−$2,754gains $1,892 · losses $5,313
PnL 7d−$598win rate 7d 39.4%
Win rate38.2%adj 38.7% · 30d 38.2%
Open value$706cash n/a
Positions7 / 544open / all-time
Max drawdown−97.8%of equity peak
Account age32dlast trade 47s ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,895below peak −$2,833Oct 11
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 38.2% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable91
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity2
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Upclosed+$168Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Upclosed+$155Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET · Upclosed+$89Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7AM ET · Upclosed+$57Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET · Upclosed+$56
Worst markets
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Noclosed−$507Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2PM ET · Downclosed−$410Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed−$175Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Downclosed−$161Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET · Upclosed−$157
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | Yes | 1,566 | 28.2¢ | 20.5¢ | $321 | −$120 | $0 | |
| Modi out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 3,306 | 7.3¢ | 7¢ | $231 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 20.3k | 0.5¢ | 0.5¢ | $112 | +$10 | −$58 | |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 13, 2026? | No | 100 | 10¢ | 14¢ | $14 | +$4.00 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | Up | 31 | 45¢ | 41.5¢ | $13 | −$1.08 | $0 | |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? | No | 102 | 11.8¢ | 11¢ | $11 | −$0.82 | $0 | |
| Bitcoin above 84,200 on October 11, 1PM ET? | Yes | 100 | 10¢ | 3.5¢ | $3.50 | −$6.50 | $0 |
Recent trades
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