sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,198

Filobestia

0xe5d…d8a3@FilobestiaPM
SharpWhalePnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.4kvol $472k
PnL 30d+$965gains $46 · losses $17
PnL 7d+$13win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate92.9%adj 85.6% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$19.9kcash n/a
Positions15 / 113open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.0%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 4d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$11.2kbelow peak −$68Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

75/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale57
Adjusted win rateraw 92.9% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d86
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? · Noclosed+$2,742Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? · Noclosed+$1,050Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$903Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes? · Noclosed+$878Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · Noopen+$572

Worst markets

Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France? · Noopen−$879Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 15 2026? · Yesclosed−$318Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in June 2026? · Noclosed−$95Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026? · Noclosed−$85F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · Yesopen−$60

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No16.6k89.4¢92.5¢$15.4k+$508+$64
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No2,87888.7¢91.8¢$2,640+$87+$159
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?No1,31798.1¢99.2¢$1,307+$15+$3.33
Will Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?No28585¢87¢$248+$5.70+$3.19
F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?Yes25769¢62¢$159−$18−$42
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?No24045¢46.5¢$112+$3.61$0
Will Canada become a European Union Association Member by June 30, 2027?No5888¢82¢$47−$3.47+$0.13
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes10412.9¢21¢$22+$8.40$0
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes9611¢13.5¢$13+$2.39$0
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections?Yes1083¢83.5¢$8.35+$0.05$0
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?No578¢92.5¢$4.70+$0.74$0
Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?No2,29439.1¢0¢$0−$897+$19
Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Yes76017.2¢0¢$0−$131+$123
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Yes15429.4¢0¢$0−$45−$0.20
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?Yes5027¢0¢$0−$14−$0.49

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Pep Guardiola's next job be Italy?85¢420$35793%75Sharp
SELL YesF1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship?52.8¢243$12893%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Boca Juniors win the 2026 Copa Sudamericana?60¢40$2493%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings46¢10$4.6093%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings46¢178$8293%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings47¢90$4393%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings48.6¢66$3293%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings48¢100$4893%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?91.9¢35$3293%75Sharp
BUY YesWill Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP Rankings46.7¢66$3193%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?97.3¢293$28593%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?89.8¢10$8.9893%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?94.8¢144$13693%75Sharp
BUY NoWill Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in September 2026?84.6¢190$16193%75Sharp
SELL YesWill Frances Tiafoe Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings87¢80$7093%75Sharp
SELL YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?66¢181$11993%75Sharp
SELL YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?70¢20$1493%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?73.5¢22$1693%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?76¢205$15693%75Sharp
SELL NoWill Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?91¢31$2893%75Sharp