sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,366

0xe61…f251

0xe61…f251
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherCryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$47.1kvol $7.42M
PnL 30d+$2,956gains $11.2k · losses $7,606
PnL 7d−$5,270win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate87.4%adj 86.0% · 30d 84.2%
Open value$143kcash n/a
Positions45 / 1,644open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$39.1kbelow peak −$63.4kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$8,199Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yesclosed+$5,727Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Noclosed+$4,007Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yesopen+$3,680Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? · Yesclosed+$2,424

Worst markets

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$10.8kWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$5,074Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9? · Upclosed−$5,047S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2? · Downclosed−$5,036S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 24? · Upclosed−$5,009

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes56.2k89¢95.6¢$53.7k+$3,680$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes31.2k80.2¢84.5¢$26.3k+$1,332$0
OpenAI IPO before 2027?No10.3k96.6¢97.3¢$10.1k+$63$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No6,33086.9¢89.5¢$5,665+$165$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,61889¢92.5¢$5,197+$197$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?No5,37693¢94.8¢$5,094+$94$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?No5,40792.5¢94.1¢$5,085+$85$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?No5,43592¢90.5¢$4,918−$82$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No5,49591¢84.5¢$4,643−$357$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes5,97683.7¢77.5¢$4,632−$368$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No3,86193.2¢95.7¢$3,695+$95$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No3,37189¢85.5¢$2,882−$118$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?No3,48886¢73.5¢$2,564−$436$0
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Up2,23289.6¢100¢$2,232+$232−$15
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No2,20190.9¢92.1¢$2,026+$26$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?No1,32775.3¢90.5¢$1,201+$201$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3,03033¢36.5¢$1,106+$106$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No1,05195.2¢95.8¢$1,007+$6.69$0
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?No28670¢85.5¢$244+$44$0
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes73867.8¢27¢$199−$301$0
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?No12381¢93.1¢$115+$15$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?No13574¢82.8¢$112+$12$0
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?Yes2,92868.3¢2.4¢$69−$1,931$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes83212¢4.7¢$39−$61$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No3375¢95.5¢$32+$6.83$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No3294¢97.7¢$31+$1.18$0
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No3294¢96.6¢$31+$0.83$0
Blue wave in 2026?Yes2773¢84.5¢$23+$3.15$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo2483¢91.5¢$22+$2.05$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-13 House seat?Yes2291¢97.3¢$21+$1.37$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No2194.2¢99¢$21+$1.01$0
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?No2195.2¢99¢$21+$0.80$0
NATO dissolves before 2027?No2195¢98.6¢$21+$0.75$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No2196.2¢98.8¢$21+$0.53$0
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No2196¢98.2¢$20+$0.45$0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes55717.9¢2.9¢$16−$84$0
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?No1282¢97.1¢$12+$1.84$0
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No1285¢95.5¢$11+$1.24$0
SBF released from custody in 2026?No1187.9¢98.5¢$11+$1.20$0
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No1188.8¢97.8¢$11+$1.01$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1284.9¢90.5¢$11+$0.66$0
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No1192.2¢97.5¢$11+$0.57$0
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?No1192¢95¢$10+$0.33$0
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes887¢96.8¢$7.79+$0.79$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?Yes6929¢6¢$4.14−$16$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?91¢5,495$5,00087%43
BUY YesWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?68.3¢2,928$2,00087%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?86¢3,488$3,00087%43
BUY UpS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?97¢1,031$1,00087%43
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 5?89.6¢2,232$2,00087%43
BUY YesWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5?98.6¢2,028$2,00087%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?83¢12.0k$10.0k87%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4?98.5¢2,030$2,00087%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?92¢5,435$5,00087%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?89¢3,371$3,00087%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?87.3¢11.5k$10.0k87%43
BUY NoWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on October 2?91.4¢1,094$1,00087%43
BUY NoWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 2?97¢1,031$1,00087%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?93¢5,376$5,00087%43
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?74¢135$10087%43
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?33¢3,030$1,00087%43
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?91¢2,747$2,50087%43
BUY NoWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?91.9¢2,175$2,00087%43
BUY NoWill 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?90.9¢2,201$2,00087%43
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?65.3¢7,658$5,00087%43