sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,119

carboyant

0xe6c…77b7
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,468vol $2.48M
PnL 30d+$405gains $2,239 · losses $1,136
PnL 7d−$152win rate 7d 75.8%
Win rate94.8%adj 93.0% · 30d 89.3%
Open value$7,442cash n/a
Positions12 / 657open / all-time
Max drawdown−71.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 5h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,671below peak −$1,087Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

65/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 94.8% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable94
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 12

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No7,04599.9¢100¢$7,041+$3.53$0
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?No38299.8¢100¢$382+$0.66$0
Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberNothing1999.8¢99.3¢$19−$0.11$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?No2,00099.5¢0¢$0−$1,990$0
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,00014.1¢0¢$0−$141−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,00014.1¢0¢$0−$141−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,00014.1¢0¢$0−$141−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,00014.1¢0¢$0−$141−$0.04
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?Yes1,00014.1¢0¢$0−$141−$0.04
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes9111¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes826.1¢0¢$0−$5.00−$0.14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No2053¢0¢$0−$11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.9¢7,045$7,03895%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98.3¢26$2695%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98¢100$9895%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.7¢82$8295%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98.7¢4$3.7895%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.7¢42$4295%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.5¢81$8095%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.5¢120$11995%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98.9¢127$12695%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.7¢12$1295%65
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.3¢100$0.3095%65
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?1.1¢43$0.4795%65
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?2.5¢95$2.3895%65
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?95.3¢58$5595%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?95.6¢5$4.7895%65
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?97¢664$64495%65
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?90.5¢2,000$1,81195%65
SELL NoWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?94.9¢2,000$1,89995%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?99.8¢5,649$5,63695%65
BUY NoWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?98.5¢10$9.8595%65