sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,056

alexbita

0xe71…9a10
SharpWR 70+WR 60+Weather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$3,451vol $331k
PnL 30d−$1,002gains $2,080 · losses $309
PnL 7d+$568win rate 7d 81.4%
Win rate76.7%adj 75.6% · 30d 80.0%
Open value$276cash n/a
Positions869 / 2,984open / all-time
Max drawdown−33.1%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$5,207below peak −$1,679Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

74/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale51
Adjusted win rateraw 76.7% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity67

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?No10064.9¢100¢$100+$35$0
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?No606¢100¢$60+$56$0
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 12?No4075.5¢76.5¢$31+$0.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?No5064.2¢50¢$25−$7.12$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 12?No2378.3¢100¢$23+$4.98$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?No1554.7¢100¢$15+$6.81$0
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?No1086¢100¢$9.99+$1.40$0
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?Yes888¢99.4¢$8.29+$0.95$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?Yes4014.4¢10¢$4.01−$1.75$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?No1174¢0.1¢$0.12−$4.56$0
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5,0000.2¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 27?Yes4,6000.1¢0¢$0−$4.60−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C or higher on September 11?Yes2,0000.2¢0¢$0−$4.00−$0.20
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,0000.1¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20?Yes1,78084¢0¢$0−$1,496+$3.28
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.06
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,0000.1¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C on September 29?Yes8931.6¢0¢$0−$14−$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C or higher on September 29?Yes8590.9¢0¢$0−$7.87$0
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 1?No80814.8¢0¢$0−$119−$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 1?Yes7003.7¢0¢$0−$26−$0.52
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23?Yes6851.4¢0¢$0−$9.57−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 30?No6562.3¢0¢$0−$15−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 15?Yes5971¢0¢$0−$5.88−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C or higher on August 21?Yes5340.4¢0¢$0−$2.35−$0.12
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 23?Yes4760.9¢0¢$0−$4.22−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 31?Yes4430.4¢0¢$0−$1.82−$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 22?No4392.1¢0¢$0−$9.41−$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 7?Yes4340¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 21?Yes4245.1¢0¢$0−$22−$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 7?Yes4190¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 29°C or higher on August 1?Yes4150.6¢0¢$0−$2.67−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 19?No4151¢0¢$0−$4.01−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 9?No41126.8¢0¢$0−$110−$2.98
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 24?Yes40667.3¢0¢$0−$273−$3.48
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 21?Yes40012.3¢0¢$0−$49−$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?Yes40075.7¢0¢$0−$303+$45
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 12?No40064.7¢0¢$0−$259+$9.43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 6?No3882.4¢0¢$0−$9.31−$0.39
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 2?No37068.3¢0¢$0−$253−$3.57
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 4?No3675.3¢0¢$0−$20−$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 29?No3605.6¢0¢$0−$20−$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 13?No3574.2¢0¢$0−$15−$0.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?No35417.1¢0¢$0−$61−$1.37
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 15?No34136.5¢0¢$0−$125−$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 23?Yes3340.8¢0¢$0−$2.64−$0.13
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3330.3¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 11?Yes3300.6¢0¢$0−$1.98−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?Yes3230.6¢0¢$0−$2.00−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 30?No31345.2¢0¢$0−$142+$1.99
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 10?Yes3082.8¢0¢$0−$8.66−$8.52
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 25?No3020.7¢0¢$0−$2.22−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 1?Yes3000.8¢0¢$0−$2.36−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on August 12?Yes3006.2¢0¢$0−$19−$0.44
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 13?No30019.9¢0¢$0−$60−$0.94
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C or higher on May 31?Yes3001¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?No3006.9¢0¢$0−$21−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?No3007¢0¢$0−$21$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 21?Yes3001.6¢0¢$0−$4.86−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 4?No30080¢0¢$0−$240−$1.72
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 12?No29920.5¢0¢$0−$61−$1.07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 2?Yes29613.2¢0¢$0−$39+$3.18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 11?Yes2805¢0¢$0−$14−$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 28?Yes2647.1¢0¢$0−$19−$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on September 6?Yes25855.6¢0¢$0−$144−$3.06
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 10?No2560.8¢0¢$0−$2.04−$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 16?Yes2555.8¢0¢$0−$15−$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 11?No2506.1¢0¢$0−$15−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9?No25017.1¢0¢$0−$43−$5.33
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C or below on July 29?No25015.1¢0¢$0−$38−$1.15
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 20?Yes2500.4¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?No2505.6¢0¢$0−$14−$2.87
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 10?Yes2501¢0¢$0−$2.50$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?No2490¢0¢$0$0$0
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 24?Yes2480.4¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on July 3?Yes2471.2¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on April 19?Yes2410.4¢0¢$0−$1.01$0
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 31°C on September 8?Yes2345.4¢0¢$0−$13−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 27?No2331¢0¢$0−$2.27−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on August 9?Yes2334¢0¢$0−$9.31−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 5?Yes2251.9¢0¢$0−$4.33−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 31?Yes2236.6¢0¢$0−$15−$0.65
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?Yes21659.6¢0¢$0−$129−$14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on August 11?Yes2109.6¢0¢$0−$20−$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?No20620.7¢0¢$0−$43−$9.07
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?No20154.9¢0¢$0−$110−$2.18
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 10?No20033¢0¢$0−$66−$1.91
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 2?Yes20013.2¢0¢$0−$26−$0.66
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?No20055.8¢0¢$0−$112−$6.71
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Yes20073.4¢0¢$0−$147−$1.94
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on April 23?Yes20037.4¢0¢$0−$75$0
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 17?Yes20035.4¢0¢$0−$71−$1.06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?No20020.7¢0¢$0−$41−$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 4?No20044.1¢0¢$0−$88−$2.23
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 29?No2000.5¢0¢$0−$1.00$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes2001.2¢0¢$0−$2.40−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15?Yes2001.5¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15

Recent trades

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TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 12?79¢5$4.0077%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?65¢16$1077%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?63.8¢34$2277%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 12?75¢35$2677%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 12?4¢117$4.6777%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 12?14.8¢30$4.4577%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 12?86¢10$8.6077%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?64.1¢16$1077%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on October 12?78.3¢23$1877%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 12?54.7¢15$8.2277%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?65.5¢9$5.9477%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?65.2¢35$2377%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 12?64.8¢40$2677%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on October 12?7¢30$2.0777%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on October 11?1¢54$0.5477%74Sharp
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 11?79¢8$6.3277%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?88¢8$7.3377%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?88.7¢43$3877%74Sharp
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?86.5¢47$4077%74Sharp
SELL NoWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on October 11?17.6¢50$8.8177%74Sharp