| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 1,114 | 37.4¢ | 54.2¢ | $604 | +$187 | $0 | |
| Will "Wildwood" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | Yes | 213 | 68¢ | 78.5¢ | $167 | +$22 | $0 | |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027? | No | 145 | 64¢ | 87.5¢ | $127 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 250 | 67¢ | 33.5¢ | $84 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will Andrew Garfield win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 216 | 27¢ | 34.5¢ | $74 | +$16 | +$0.29 | |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | 65 | 64.8¢ | 92¢ | $60 | +$18 | +$40 | |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | Yes | 50 | 87.8¢ | 83¢ | $42 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? | No | 31 | 82¢ | 97.4¢ | $31 | +$4.84 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 683 | 2.6¢ | 3.7¢ | $25 | +$7.33 | $0 | |
| Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 198 | 2.6¢ | 8.5¢ | $17 | +$12 | +$20 | |
| Will Tutu win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 502 | 2.6¢ | 3.2¢ | $16 | +$2.59 | +$0.18 | |
| Will Musk win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 515 | 2.6¢ | 2.9¢ | $15 | +$1.12 | $0 | |
| Will Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 515 | 2.6¢ | 1.7¢ | $8.75 | −$4.80 | $0 | |
| Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 108 | 2.6¢ | 5¢ | $5.40 | +$2.56 | +$26 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 53 | 28.7¢ | 3.7¢ | $1.96 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 79 | 7.2¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.87 | −$4.82 | $0 | |
| Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 57 | 2.6¢ | 1.2¢ | $0.65 | −$0.84 | −$2.98 | |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1 | 10.3¢ | 41.5¢ | $0.61 | +$0.46 | +$45 | |
| Betmoar FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 2 | 49¢ | 7.5¢ | $0.15 | −$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 60 and 70 million views on day 1? | Yes | 13.9k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4? | Yes | 12.8k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 | |
| Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 10.1k | 2.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$237 | −$0.02 | |
| Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 7,953 | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$232 | −$0.01 | |
| Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 7,769 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$236 | −$0.05 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026? | Yes | 7,000 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 6,975 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$171 | −$3.97 | |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 5,963 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$213 | −$6.68 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | 5,855 | 31.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,866 | +$2,407 | |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | No | 5,825 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$23 | −$1.01 | |
| Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | Yes | 5,194 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will fewer than 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 4,809 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | −$27 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Yes | 4,581 | 19.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$905 | −$19 | |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? | Yes | 4,338 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$464 | +$308 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 4,211 | 14.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$619 | −$16 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 39.5 and 40.0 million views on day 6? | Yes | 4,088 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$53 | +$23 | |
| Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 4,006 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$197 | −$22 | |
| Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrievers: O/U 143.5 | Under | 3,891 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$36 | −$7.71 | |
| Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 3,757 | 17¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$639 | −$429 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 75 million views on day 5? | Yes | 3,498 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.71 | +$137 | |
| Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month? | No | 3,478 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14 | −$0.69 | |
| Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers | Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 3,300 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$18 | −$730 | |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? | Yes | 3,203 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | +$2.91 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 63 and 65 million views on day 4? | Yes | 3,000 | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 31? | Yes | 2,515 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | −$71 | |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | Atlanta Braves | 2,452 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.45 | −$0.03 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17? | Down | 2,368 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28? | Yes | 2,300 | 14.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$333 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2,202 | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$317 | $0 | |
| Will Sadio Mane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Florian Wirtz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Serge Gnabry be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Tim Payne be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Donyell Malen be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Rafael Leao be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Dion Beljo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Amad Diallo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Edin Džeko be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Rodrygo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Viktor Gyökeres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Memphis Depay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Scott McTominay be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Bukayo Saka be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Federico Valverde be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Pedri be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Depay Memphis be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Dani Olmo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Luis Javier Suárez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Andrej Kramarić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Romelu Lukaku be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Pessoa be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will Bradley Barcola be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2,152 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$0.15 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 36 and 38 million views on day 3? | Yes | 2,143 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.14 | $0 | |
| Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (January 20, 2026) | No | 2,090 | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | $0 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 67 million or more views on day 5? | No | 2,059 | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | Yes | 2,053 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4.10 | −$0.16 | |
| Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | 1,754 | 44.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$785 | +$42 | |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? | Yes | 1,672 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$43 | +$17 | |
| LoL: LOS vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner | LOS | 1,612 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 1,536 | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$272 | −$6.12 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | 1,445 | 10.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$149 | +$4.16 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026? | Yes | 1,401 | 4.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | $0 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | Yes | 1,367 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$27 | +$199 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 13-19? | Yes | 1,340 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$80 | $0 | |
| Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | 1,297 | 4.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$238 | |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 16.5 | Over | 1,255 | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.29 | −$0.01 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29? | Yes | 1,250 | 30.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$383 | $0 | |
| NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers | Oilers | 1,237 | 3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$37 | −$1.08 | |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1? | Yes | 1,231 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8.76 | $0 | |
| Will the 7-day moving average of Strait of Hormuz transits be between 8 and 11 on April 19, 2026? | Yes | 1,211 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 7? | No | 1,205 | 40.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$490 | +$42 | |
