sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

defi-vitya

0xe7a…1e9f
WR 60+CryptoPoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$868vol $111k
PnL 30d+$181gains $275 · losses $209
PnL 7d−$210win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate62.2%adj 60.7% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$4,363cash n/a
Positions27 / 175open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$160below peak −$258Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

47/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 62.2% · shrunk toward 50%52
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 27

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No70991.1¢97.8¢$693+$47$0
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No62287.2¢86.5¢$538−$4.56$0
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?No51484.4¢90¢$462+$29$0
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No60460¢62¢$375+$12$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo30497.9¢99.2¢$301+$3.78$0
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No30597.7¢96.4¢$294−$4.11$0
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No30394.5¢96.7¢$293+$6.44$0
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?No30592¢93.9¢$287+$5.65$0
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?No30694.7¢89.6¢$274−$16$0
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No30389.6¢89¢$270−$1.67$0
US strike on Mexico by December 31?No20576¢96.2¢$197+$41$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?Yes20983¢79¢$165−$8.28$0
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No62078¢17.5¢$108−$375$0
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?No51551.8¢8¢$41−$225$0
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?No31828¢10.5¢$33−$56+$18
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes44660.8¢4¢$18−$254$0
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes2058¢3.2¢$6.46−$9.94$0
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes3147¢1.1¢$3.30−$19$0
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes3301.2¢0.9¢$2.81−$0.99$0
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes6501.8¢0¢$0−$11−$0.79
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes5000.2¢0¢$0−$1.00−$0.03
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No30568.7¢0¢$0−$209$0
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes3033.8¢0¢$0−$11$0
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes3028¢0¢$0−$24$0
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?No2075.4¢0¢$0−$11−$0.32
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30, 2026?Yes10322.8¢0¢$0−$23$0
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StagePARIVISION5465.3¢0¢$0−$35−$0.36

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?91¢305$27862%47
SELL NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?85¢308$26262%47
SELL NoMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?94.7¢503$47662%47
SELL NoStandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?96.7¢306$29662%47
SELL NoStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?98.2¢609$59862%47
BUY SpiritCounter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs59¢85$5062%47
BUY NoTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?82¢308$25362%47
BUY YesWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?7¢314$2262%47
BUY NoWill Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?92¢305$28162%47
SELL YesWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?1.9¢960$1862%47
SELL NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?92.1¢304$28062%47
SELL NoFed rate hike in 2026?48¢406$19562%47
SELL YesHyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch?7¢649$4662%47
BUY NoVariational FDV above $500M one day after launch?28¢318$8962%47
SELL YesOKX IPO in 2026?6¢629$3862%47
SELL NoWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?98¢304$29762%47
SELL NoInk FDV above $3B one day after launch?96.3¢308$29662%47
BUY NoWill Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?89¢304$27162%47
SELL NoPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?92¢303$27962%47
BUY NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?59¢303$17962%47