sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

love2bluff

0xe7f…0fc7
WR 60+1y+CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$25.0kvol $962k
PnL 30d+$18gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$0.74win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate61.3%adj 58.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,501cash n/a
Positions31 / 94open / all-time
Max drawdown−34.2%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$24.9kbelow peak −$6,461Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 61.3% · shrunk toward 50%46
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable66
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity66

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
USDE depeg by December 31?No66090.5¢97.1¢$641+$44$0
USD1 depeg by December 31?No54387.5¢94¢$510+$36$0
USDC depeg by December 31?No35591.1¢98.5¢$350+$26+$4.39
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes29.7k2.1¢0¢$0−$626$0
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?Yes27.7k1.2¢0¢$0−$330$0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No19.0k3.5¢0¢$0−$665$0
Will Gold close below $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes10,00011.5¢0¢$0−$1,150$0
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November?Yes7,71020.8¢0¢$0−$1,600$0
Will Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?No5,70147.2¢0¢$0−$2,689−$54
MetaMask airdrop in Q3 2025?Yes4,2906.9¢0¢$0−$295$0
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?Yes3,2490.4¢0¢$0−$13$0
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No2,57220¢0¢$0−$514$0
Will Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?No2,53617.6¢0¢$0−$447$0
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?Yes1,85816.1¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes1,6870.8¢0¢$0−$14$0
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?No1,01727.9¢0¢$0−$283$0
Will the ECB announce no change at the December meeting?No6083¢0¢$0−$18$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?No44811.2¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will Trump announce strategic Bitcoin reserve?No41971.5¢0¢$0−$300$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No33330¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Gold close between $4000 and $4100 at the end of 2025?Yes28814.5¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes2353.2¢0¢$0−$7.52$0
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes2291.2¢0¢$0−$2.75$0
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes16454¢0¢$0−$89$0
USR depeg by December 31?No15089¢0¢$0−$134$0
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes7231.1¢0¢$0−$22$0
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes714.6¢0¢$0−$3.28$0
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes5014¢0¢$0−$7.00$0
Will Trump create a Bitcoin reserve in first week?Yes4223.5¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?Yes382.1¢0¢$0−$0.79$0
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?No1512.2¢0¢$0−$1.83$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?32¢769$24661%24
BUY YesUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?13¢769$10061%24
SELL NoUSDC depeg by December 31?95.5¢106$10161%24
SELL YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?13¢3,218$41861%24
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?8¢2,504$20061%24
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?7¢714$5061%24
BUY NoUS forces enter Iran by April 30?30¢333$10061%24
SELL NoWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?4.1¢462$1961%24
SELL NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?40¢452$18161%24
SELL NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?41¢300$12361%24
SELL NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?41¢100$4161%24
SELL YesWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?28.4¢4,241$1,20361%24
BUY YesWill Lighter reach $4 before 2027?42¢1,191$50061%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?50¢506$25361%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?17.9¢1,116$20061%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1.5 before 2027?14.1¢50$7.0561%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?52¢30$1661%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?51¢25$1361%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?52¢40$2161%24
BUY NoWill Lighter dip to $1 before 2027?51¢100$5161%24