PnL all-time−$17.0kvol $460k
PnL 30d+$1,916gains $2,718 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$1,247win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate42.5%adj 45.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$498cash n/a
Positions4 / 44open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 15h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$18.2kbelow peak −$22.4kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 42.5% · shrunk toward 50%13
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? · Noclosed+$5,787Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? · Yesclosed+$4,934Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yesclosed+$2,718Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11AM ET · Upclosed+$731No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? · Noclosed+$530
Worst markets
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET · Upclosed−$9,097Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$8,984No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? · Noclosed−$4,346Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? · Yesclosed−$3,061Trump out as President by March 31? · Yesclosed−$2,221
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 6,250 | 16¢ | 4.2¢ | $259 | −$741 | $0 | |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7,500 | 7¢ | 2.2¢ | $165 | −$360 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 2,400 | 16.3¢ | 3.1¢ | $73 | −$319 | −$215 | |
| Trump out as President by April 30? | Yes | 10.0k | 2.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$219 | $0 |
Recent trades
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