PnL all-time−$233vol $9,723
PnL 30d+$400gains $10 · losses $199
PnL 7d−$9.72win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.9%adj 62.8% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$696cash n/a
Positions6 / 29open / all-time
Max drawdown−47.9%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 2d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$248below peak −$369Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 73.9% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d90
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity52
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yesclosed+$142Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed+$110Starmer out by June 22, 2026? · Yesclosed+$55No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed+$23Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yesclosed+$21
Worst markets
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Noclosed−$107US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026? · Noopen−$100Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week? · Yesclosed−$100Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? · Noclosed−$100Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yesclosed−$100
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 330 | 91¢ | 90.5¢ | $298 | −$1.65 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 304 | 98.6¢ | 97.2¢ | $296 | −$4.29 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 106 | 94¢ | 95.4¢ | $101 | +$1.44 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s