PnL all-time−$94vol $127k
PnL 30d−$24gains $1,879 · losses $1,907
PnL 7d−$24win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate52.6%adj 51.3% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$3,991cash n/a
Positions9 / 28open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.1%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 6h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$93below peak −$201Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 52.6% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable48
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity80
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Noclosed+$1,879Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? · Noopen+$823Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff? · Yesclosed+$89Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? · Yesclosed+$14Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? · Yesclosed+$8.83
Worst markets
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed−$1,907Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? · Yesopen−$823Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$90Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yesclosed−$65Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yesopen−$12
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2,058 | 97.2¢ | 97.2¢ | $1,999 | −$1.03 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? | No | 1,700 | 50¢ | 98.4¢ | $1,673 | +$823 | $0 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | 203 | 98.7¢ | 98.8¢ | $200 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 52 | 96.8¢ | 96.6¢ | $50 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 45 | 83.9¢ | 85.7¢ | $39 | +$0.79 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 8? | Yes | 1,700 | 50¢ | 1.6¢ | $27 | −$823 | $0 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 17 | 38¢ | 17.8¢ | $3.05 | −$3.45 | $0 | |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 34 | 35¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 9 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | $0 |
Recent trades
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