sharpside
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0xe91…da2d
PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,598vol $13.2k
PnL 30d−$19gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$11win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,975cash n/a
Positions45 / 45open / all-time
Max drawdown−73.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 7mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,473below peak −$271Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

18/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale46
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity27

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 45

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes2,70310¢100¢$2,703+$2,432$0
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No77152¢50¢$386−$15$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes27839¢100¢$278+$170$0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?No18766¢100¢$187+$64$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,12727¢15.5¢$174−$130$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?Yes14138¢100¢$141+$87$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes63414¢14.8¢$93+$4.75$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1167.7¢7.9¢$9.10+$0.12$0
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?Yes749¢50¢$3.35+$0.07$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes66¢15.8¢$0.90+$0.56$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes3,03217¢0¢$0−$515$0
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No90018¢0¢$0−$162$0
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes8455.6¢0¢$0−$47$0
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes40515¢0¢$0−$61$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?Yes30710¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No29438¢0¢$0−$112$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?Yes2475¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?Yes21416¢0¢$0−$34$0
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?No20644¢0¢$0−$91$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?Yes15611¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?Yes9919¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes968.6¢0¢$0−$8.26$0
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes875¢0¢$0−$4.36$0
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?Yes486¢0¢$0−$2.89$0
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes3411¢0¢$0−$3.75$0
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes3012¢0¢$0−$3.58$0
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes255¢0¢$0−$1.23$0
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?Yes235¢0¢$0−$1.13$0
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?No186¢0¢$0−$1.10$0
Senator Eichorn guilty of soliciting a child?Yes1721¢0¢$0−$3.46$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes145¢0¢$0−$0.72$0
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes1212¢0¢$0−$1.40$0
BitBoy convicted?Yes1014¢0¢$0−$1.38$0
Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?Yes85¢0¢$0−$0.39$0
Rojas guilty in Texas illegal abortion case?Yes88¢0¢$0−$0.61$0
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes710¢0¢$0−$0.72$0
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes76¢0¢$0−$0.40$0
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?No515¢0¢$0−$0.76$0
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes58¢0¢$0−$0.41$0
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?Yes510¢0¢$0−$0.51$0
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes55¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes55¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes55¢0¢$0−$0.25$0
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes58¢0¢$0−$0.41$0
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?No39¢0¢$0−$0.28$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?6¢18$1.100%18
BUY YesWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?10¢7$0.720%18
BUY YesWill the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?12¢12$1.400%18
BUY YesWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?8.6¢96$8.260%18
BUY YesWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?49¢7$3.280%18
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?7.7¢116$8.980%18
BUY YesRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?39¢278$1090%18
BUY NoWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?38¢294$1120%18
BUY YesWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?5.6¢845$470%18
BUY NoWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?66¢187$1240%18
BUY NoWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?44¢206$910%18
BUY YesWill Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?11¢10$1.100%18
BUY YesWill PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?10¢2,703$2700%18
BUY NoWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?52¢771$4010%18
BUY YesMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?17¢3,032$5150%18