sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,411

PascalPro

0xe94…ab96
WhaleWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,983vol $224k
PnL 30d−$1,541gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,349win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate86.0%adj 75.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$87.6kcash n/a
Positions179 / 229open / all-time
Max drawdown−54.0%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 3d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,487below peak −$2,915Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

52/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale50
Adjusted win rateraw 86.0% · shrunk toward 50%89
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d89
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity46

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No25.3k88¢85.8¢$21.7k−$570$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?Yes6,51566.1¢78¢$5,081+$775$0
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?No3,72289.1¢87.2¢$3,244−$71$0
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?No13.7k37.6¢22¢$3,023−$2,145$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No2,42387.4¢87.5¢$2,120+$1.89$0
Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2,19788.4¢95.2¢$2,091+$147$0
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No2,06087.7¢95¢$1,957+$150$0
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,53092.2¢94.6¢$1,447+$36$0
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No1,47192¢94.2¢$1,385+$32$0
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,33195.2¢97.6¢$1,298+$31$0
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,43988.7¢89.5¢$1,288+$11$0
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No1,20097.7¢98.7¢$1,184+$11$0
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?No1,20094¢97.9¢$1,174+$46$0
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No1,08295¢96.4¢$1,043+$15$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No1,00095¢99.5¢$995+$45$0
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,24482.8¢77.5¢$964−$66$0
Trump out as President before 2027?No1,00090.2¢95.8¢$958+$56$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No96890¢99¢$957+$87$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes96292.6¢94.4¢$908+$18$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,53564.1¢59¢$905−$78$0
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No91392¢94.6¢$863+$23$0
Will Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No90290.4¢94.4¢$852+$36$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes2,0007.5¢40.8¢$817+$667$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?No82292.7¢99.4¢$817+$54$0
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No80094.4¢98.9¢$791+$36$0
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?No87485.7¢90.5¢$791+$42$0
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No82391.5¢93.5¢$769+$17$0
Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No73595.5¢96.6¢$709+$7.44$0
Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No79987¢88.5¢$707+$12$0
Will Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No70991.9¢95¢$673+$21$0
Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?Yes72560.2¢92.7¢$672+$235$0
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes73676.8¢91¢$670+$105$0
Will Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes68980¢90.5¢$624+$72$0
Will Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No64993.9¢95¢$617+$6.77$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No64190.4¢93.6¢$600+$20$0
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No1,00085¢59.2¢$592−$258$0
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No59393.1¢96.6¢$572+$20$0
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No58095.3¢95.6¢$554+$2.02$0
Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No61487.8¢89.7¢$550+$12$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?No50086¢99.2¢$496+$66$0
Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50089¢98.9¢$494+$49$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No50093.9¢97.1¢$485+$16$0
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No50090.8¢96.9¢$485+$31$0
Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50393.9¢95.3¢$479+$6.79$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No49391.6¢95.8¢$472+$20$0
Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No49094.2¢96.1¢$471+$8.95$0
Will François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No47291.5¢95¢$448+$17$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No48288¢91.5¢$441+$17$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes50081.4¢87.5¢$438+$31$0
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No42695.2¢98.9¢$421+$15$0
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50083.3¢84¢$420+$3.28$0
Will Mathilde Panot be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No43593.9¢95.9¢$417+$8.67$0
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No43089.1¢96.5¢$415+$32$0
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50060¢81¢$405+$105$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No62869.3¢60.5¢$380−$55$0
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No40382.8¢92¢$371+$37$0
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No37895.1¢96.1¢$363+$3.47$0
Will Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No38492.9¢93.6¢$359+$2.63$0
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No50055.8¢69.5¢$347+$68$0
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No81640.9¢41¢$334+$0.72$0
Will Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes40077¢81¢$324+$16$0
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No33890.8¢93.9¢$317+$10$0
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?No31396¢99.8¢$312+$12$0
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No33990.2¢90.9¢$308+$2.31$0
Will Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No32692.9¢93.1¢$304+$0.81$0
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?No30096¢98.3¢$295+$6.90$0
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No31293¢93.5¢$292+$1.56$0
Will Rennes qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes84422¢34.5¢$291+$106$0
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?No30095.6¢94.4¢$283−$3.50$0
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No28088.1¢95.2¢$267+$20$0
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No29583.6¢88.5¢$261+$15$0
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No27093¢94.8¢$256+$4.80$0
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No26693.9¢95.1¢$253+$3.24$0
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No25094.7¢95.1¢$238+$0.94$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No30076¢77.5¢$233+$4.50$0
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes34961.3¢65¢$227+$13$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Yes70041.1¢31¢$217−$71$0
Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes22483.9¢90.5¢$202+$15$0
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?No20094.3¢99.2¢$198+$9.70$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes30072¢65.5¢$197−$20$0
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No20095¢97.8¢$196+$5.50$0
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoNothing20094¢97.7¢$195+$7.40$0
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes20083¢96.8¢$194+$28$0
Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No20391.7¢95.2¢$193+$6.94$0
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No20091¢94¢$188+$6.00$0
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No35058.7¢53.5¢$187−$18$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No20061¢92.5¢$185+$63$0
Will Lens qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?Yes60830.9¢29.5¢$179−$8.53$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes50044.9¢32.4¢$162−$62$0
Will Édouard Philippe, but not Gabriel Attal, be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes20068¢79.5¢$159+$23$0
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No22661.8¢69¢$156+$16$0
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No16194¢94.3¢$152+$0.34$0
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes17590¢84.5¢$147−$9.60$0
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No15093.7¢97.8¢$147+$6.20$0
Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No81530.1¢18¢$147−$99$0
Will Manuel Valls be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No15394.5¢95.6¢$146+$1.56$0
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No15293.2¢94.5¢$144+$2.00$0
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No14924¢93.1¢$139+$103$0
Will Marseille qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?No14864.5¢93¢$138+$42$0
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?No13393.5¢95.1¢$127+$2.00$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?88.4¢2,022$1,78886%52
BUY NoWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?24¢100$2486%52
BUY NoWill David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?88¢1,000$88086%52
BUY NoWill David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?88¢2,000$1,76086%52
BUY NoWill Élisabeth Borne be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?92.5¢107$9986%52
BUY NoWill Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?93.7¢51$4886%52
BUY NoWill Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?93¢250$23386%52
BUY NoBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?69¢39$2786%52
BUY NoLe Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?91¢70$6486%52
BUY NoWill David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?88¢6,171$5,43086%52
BUY NoWill David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?88¢5,000$4,40086%52
BUY NoWill François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?95.2¢1,331$1,26786%52
BUY NoWill Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?94.8¢100$9586%52
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?44.9¢500$22586%52
BUY NoLe Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?90¢250$22586%52
BUY NoWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?90¢100$9086%52
BUY YesWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?62¢310$19286%52
BUY NoWill Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?96.6¢280$27086%52
BUY NoWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?91.7¢90$8386%52
BUY YesWill Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?90¢175$15786%52