sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,504

mewmew1

0xe95…61f2@topretardedtuna
Whale1y+OtherCryptoSportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$10.3kvol $3.18M
PnL 30d−$3,265gains $9,991 · losses $17.2k
PnL 7d−$46win rate 7d 54.5%
Win rate58.4%adj 58.1% · 30d 49.0%
Open value$124kcash n/a
Positions121 / 1,350open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3.6ylast trade 13h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,618below peak −$14.4kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.4% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?Yes18.9k80.5¢80¢$15.1k−$100+$4.25
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026No13.6k83.7¢87.5¢$11.9k+$522$0
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No9,80995¢95¢$9,318−$0.79$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes9,64382.5¢75.5¢$7,281−$674$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes6,41985¢81.5¢$5,232−$224+$277
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?No5,97189.2¢87.5¢$5,224−$100$0
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No5,38271.8¢90¢$4,844+$978+$2,267
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes8,36743.6¢53.9¢$4,510+$860$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No4,10198.4¢98.9¢$4,054+$18−$1,034
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes9,64464.4¢41.5¢$4,002−$2,211$0
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes8,38747.3¢39.6¢$3,321−$647−$105
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?No3,03567.4¢91.5¢$2,777+$733$0
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?No2,91796.7¢95¢$2,771−$48$0
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?No2,66394.8¢97.5¢$2,595+$70−$1.99
Will Trump and Putin not meet?No2,79166.9¢81¢$2,261+$393$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No2,76972.6¢71¢$1,966−$44$0
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No2,07886.4¢86.5¢$1,797+$2.23$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Yes3,58447.5¢42¢$1,505−$197$0
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes2,00951.4¢63.5¢$1,276+$242$0
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes2,03360¢61.5¢$1,250+$31$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026?No1,27587¢95¢$1,211+$102$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes2,03457.9¢57.8¢$1,175−$3.05$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?No2,09419.7¢51.9¢$1,086+$672+$71
Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?No1,55673.5¢67¢$1,043−$102$0
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?No1,04092.3¢94.1¢$978+$18$0
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No1,00090¢96.8¢$968+$68$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 15, 2026?No95288.8¢96.6¢$919+$74$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?No92689¢97¢$898+$74$0
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes1,12741¢78.5¢$884+$422$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026?No87393¢98.3¢$857+$46$0
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No1,00072¢85.5¢$855+$135$0
Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes89689.9¢90.5¢$811+$5.09$0
Cambria FDV above $70M one day after launch?No88277.4¢82¢$724+$41$0
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No86483.4¢81.9¢$707−$14$0
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?No1,10458.3¢63¢$695+$52$0
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Yes93369.4¢69.5¢$649+$0.54$0
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes1,01465¢63.5¢$644−$15$0
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?No1,26045.7¢49¢$617+$42$0
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch?No85172.1¢71.5¢$609−$5.52$0
Will "Dune: Messiah" make it into the IMDb Top 250?Yes63877¢87.3¢$557+$66$0
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?No64084.7¢83¢$531−$11$0
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Yes1,03557.4¢50¢$517−$76$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Yes1,53838¢33¢$508−$77$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,01854.9¢47.5¢$484−$75$0
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No50072¢93.5¢$468+$108$0
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes67574.8¢68.5¢$462−$42$0
Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?No54080¢85.5¢$462+$30$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Yes1,07542.3¢42.4¢$456+$1.17$0
Will Rafael Jodar Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?No59863.9¢75.6¢$452+$70$0
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?No45592.9¢99.3¢$452+$29$0
Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026?Yes48078.2¢91¢$437+$62$0
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No43869.7¢93¢$408+$102$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?Yes1,01641.9¢39¢$396−$30$0
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No1,49155.8¢26.5¢$395−$437$0
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?Yes1,45659.1¢26.5¢$386−$474$0
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be at least 3.0%?Yes53570.2¢70.3¢$376+$0.72$0
Multipli.fi FDV above $500M one day after launch?No45182.3¢83.1¢$375+$3.64$0
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?No48475¢75.5¢$366+$2.42−$50
LAPTOP listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE?No34087.9¢98.9¢$336+$37$0
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?No35691.5¢91.2¢$325−$1.06$0
Will Hyperliquid introduce KYC by December 31, 2026?No35994.3¢90.5¢$325−$14$0
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027?Yes52456.2¢61¢$320+$25$0
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?No35973.7¢85¢$305+$40$0
Will any AI model reach 1600 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No32189.8¢89.4¢$287−$1.44$0
Nobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?No68149¢39¢$266−$68$0
New pandemic in 2026?No27087¢94.5¢$255+$20$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes1,02017.8¢22.3¢$227+$46$0
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?No73319.8¢30.5¢$224+$79$0
Will Jannik Sinner have 15,000+ ATP Points Before 2027?No22393.1¢99.2¢$221+$14$0
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?No23493.3¢91.1¢$213−$5.04+$553
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No29773¢71.5¢$213−$4.45−$64
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?No20089¢98.8¢$198+$20$0
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?Yes82412.1¢23¢$189+$90$0
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes1,97029¢8.5¢$167−$403$0
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by December 31, 2026?No20165.5¢81¢$163+$31$0
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes44574¢36.5¢$162−$167$0
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?Yes1,8578.9¢8.5¢$158−$6.75$0
Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?Yes32945.3¢44.5¢$146−$2.50$0
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?No15993.6¢88.4¢$141−$8.32$0
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?No51430.4¢26¢$133−$23$0
Cambria FDV above $150M one day after launch?No12898.8¢96.8¢$124−$2.53$0
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes36750.3¢32.5¢$119−$66$0
Will Grok Bot be available on the free plan by October 31, 2026?No12190.8¢85¢$103−$7.06$0
Next DeepSeek Pro released by November 30, 2026?Yes21645.4¢47.5¢$102+$4.55$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes37920.3¢24.5¢$93+$16$0
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No37218.2¢21.3¢$79+$11$0
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No20737.7¢38¢$79+$0.56$0
Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?No11169.3¢71¢$79+$1.86$0
Will Claude Fable's output price be at or above $55 in 2026?Yes41038¢18¢$74−$82$0
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by December 31, 2026?No11952.9¢60.5¢$72+$9.05$0
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by October 31, 2026?No8139.4¢89¢$72+$40$0
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027?Yes70913.4¢10¢$71−$24+$0.19
Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes7018¢9.5¢$67+$11$0
Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?Yes9366.4¢58.5¢$55−$7.39$0
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes28150¢16.5¢$46−$94$0
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0615.9¢3.5¢$37−$26$0
Next Token Sale on Coinbase by November 30, 2026?No3727.9¢78¢$29+$19$0
Will Novak Djokovic announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Yes62512.9¢4.1¢$25−$55$0
Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?Yes37117¢6.5¢$24−$39$0
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?No2393¢83.1¢$19−$2.23$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202683¢8,387$6,96258%36
BUY NoNobel Peace Prize 2026 awarded to an individual?49¢664$32558%36
BUY YesWill UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?45.2¢320$14558%36
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?87.5¢1,553$1,35958%36
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?40¢277$11158%36
SELL NoWill Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?33.4¢920$30758%36
BUY NoWill Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?30.3¢490$14858%36
SELL NoGemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?6¢135$8.1058%36
SELL NoGemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?32¢328$10558%36
BUY YesWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?38¢1,538$58458%36
BUY YesWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?48¢610$29358%36
BUY YesWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?43.5¢610$26658%36
BUY YesWill the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31?42.7¢710$30358%36
BUY NoWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?95¢9,809$9,31958%36
BUY YesWill Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?18.2¢50$9.1258%36
BUY YesWill Anthropic's public ticker be $ANT?11.7¢774$9158%36
BUY NoWill Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?82.4¢387$31958%36
BUY NoWill Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?33¢1,035$34158%36
BUY NoWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?54.9¢1,018$55958%36
BUY NoWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?86.4¢2,068$1,78658%36