PnL all-time+$840vol $6,327
PnL 30d+$144gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$60win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate40.0%adj 48.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,938cash n/a
Positions3 / 8open / all-time
Max drawdown−28.1%of equity peak
Account age12molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$1,038below peak −$60Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale42
Adjusted win rateraw 40.0% · shrunk toward 50%20
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable30
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity72
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$770Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · Yesopen+$4242026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yesopen+$198Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Noopen+$188Xi Jinping out in 2025? · Noclosed+$9.62
Worst markets
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | Yes | 800 | 47¢ | 100¢ | $800 | +$424 | $0 | |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 1,200 | 45¢ | 61.5¢ | $738 | +$198 | $0 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 400 | 53¢ | 100¢ | $400 | +$188 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s
| Time | Side | Market | Price | Shares | Value | Trader WR | Sharp | Flags | Transaction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUY No | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 53¢ | 400 | $212 | 40% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | 45¢ | 1,200 | $540 | 40% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | 23¢ | 1,000 | $230 | 40% | 23 | |||
| BUY Yes | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | 47¢ | 172 | $81 | 40% | 23 | |||
| SELL No | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 98.5¢ | 214 | $210 | 40% | 23 | |||
| BUY No | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | 94¢ | 214 | $201 | 40% | 23 |