PnL all-time+$134vol $16.2k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate85.3%adj 79.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$662cash n/a
Positions11 / 113open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.7%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$134below peak −$152Oct 14
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale30
Adjusted win rateraw 85.3% · shrunk toward 50%99
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Liverpool win on 2025-01-05? · Yesclosed−$111Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus? · Noopen−$98Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Grand Slam Weissenhaus? · Yesclosed−$73Will Everton vs. Liverpool end in a draw? · Noopen−$56Will Biden pardon Fauci? · Noclosed−$55
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-02-12? | Yes | 252 | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $252 | +$5.34 | $0 | |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | No | 100 | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$2.60 | $0 | |
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | No | 100 | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$2.20 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025? | No | 50 | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$1.15 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025? | No | 50 | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$1.40 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025? | No | 50 | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | $50 | +$3.10 | $0 | |
| Will Leicester City be relegated? | Yes | 40 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $40 | +$6.40 | $0 | |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025? | No | 20 | 93¢ | 100¢ | $20 | +$1.40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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