PnL all-time+$123kvol $9.94M
PnL 30d−$1,966gains $0 · losses $114
PnL 7d−$192win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate36.5%adj 37.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$11.8kcash n/a
Positions7 / 1,107open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.2%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 8d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$124kbelow peak −$17.5kOct 10
SharpScore inputs
57/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 36.5% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d73
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? · Yesclosed+$28.2kZohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? · Yesclosed+$20.8kWill Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks? · Noclosed+$13.5kWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yesclosed+$7,309Will Trump say “God / Hell” 10+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech? · Yesclosed+$7,077
Worst markets
Will Trump say “Million / Billion / Trillion” 15+ times during his Iowa State Fairgrounds speech? · Yesclosed−$5,786Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? · Yesclosed−$5,423Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yesclosed−$5,044Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yesclosed−$4,374Will Inter Milan win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yesclosed−$4,329
Open positions · 7
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 205k | 5¢ | 5¢ | $10.2k | −$155 | $0 | |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 58.2k | 1.1¢ | 2.4¢ | $1,368 | +$701 | +$966 | |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 101k | 0.7¢ | 0.3¢ | $252 | −$469 | +$315 | |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 53.8k | 0.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $27 | −$262 | +$273 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | 49¢ | 73.5¢ | $7.35 | +$2.45 | $0 | |
| Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | Yes | 1,337 | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | −$4.62 | |
| Will Trump say "Manufacture" or "Manufacturing" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company? | No | 562 | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$81 | −$12 |
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