PnL all-time+$1,094vol $106k
PnL 30d−$28gains $201 · losses $930
PnL 7d+$40win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate67.1%adj 65.0% · 30d 62.5%
Open value$371cash n/a
Positions33 / 173open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 10h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
Not enough history to draw an equity curve.
SharpScore inputs
71/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 67.1% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · Noclosed+$645Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? · Noclosed+$373Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31? · Yesclosed+$343Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? · Noclosed+$341 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Noclosed+$259
Worst markets
Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? · Yesclosed−$898Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$455Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? · Noclosed−$299Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? · Yesclosed−$240Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yesclosed−$207
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? | Yes | 200 | 57¢ | 60.5¢ | $121 | +$7.00 | $0 | |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 86¢ | 93.5¢ | $94 | +$7.50 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 100 | 39¢ | 53¢ | $53 | +$14 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | 36¢ | 38.5¢ | $39 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? | No | 100 | 35¢ | 36¢ | $36 | +$1.00 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 246 | 9¢ | 6.5¢ | $16 | −$6.15 | −$1.70 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 70 | 30.7¢ | 17.5¢ | $12 | −$9.25 | $0 | |
| Russia strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by August 21, 2026? | No | 26 | 60.3¢ | 4.7¢ | $1.23 | −$15 | $0 |
Recent trades
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