| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | 2,436 | 95.3¢ | 96.8¢ | $2,357 | +$34 | $0 | |
| Kash Patel out by December 31? | No | 1,893 | 42.8¢ | 79.5¢ | $1,505 | +$696 | +$172 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1,906 | 33.8¢ | 30.5¢ | $581 | −$64 | −$17 | |
| RFK Jr. Out by December 31? | No | 660 | 70.7¢ | 88¢ | $581 | +$114 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian by October 31? | No | 500 | 93.1¢ | 98.2¢ | $491 | +$26 | $0 | |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | No | 399 | 60.2¢ | 93.5¢ | $372 | +$132 | $0 | |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | No | 323 | 62¢ | 82.5¢ | $266 | +$66 | $0 | |
| Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026? | No | 265 | 96.4¢ | 97.6¢ | $259 | +$3.26 | $0 | |
| Will Ishaq Dar attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 282 | 70.8¢ | 79.5¢ | $224 | +$24 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | Yes | 886 | 23¢ | 23¢ | $204 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 207 | 96.8¢ | 97.3¢ | $201 | +$1.03 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31? | Yes | 323 | 40.7¢ | 53.5¢ | $173 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 30? | No | 154 | 89.3¢ | 99¢ | $152 | +$15 | $0 | |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31? | Yes | 529 | 15.2¢ | 27.9¢ | $147 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026? | No | 466 | 46.9¢ | 24.5¢ | $114 | −$105 | −$43 | |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31? | No | 111 | 90.4¢ | 94¢ | $104 | +$3.94 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 1,067 | 13.1¢ | 9.5¢ | $101 | −$39 | −$275 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 100 | 61¢ | 71.5¢ | $72 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 418 | 6.9¢ | 14.8¢ | $62 | +$33 | +$24 | |
| Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by September 23? | No | 60 | 94.3¢ | 99¢ | $59 | +$2.76 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elizabeth Warren by October 31, 2026? | No | 117 | 38¢ | 47.5¢ | $56 | +$11 | +$1.99 | |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? | No | 53 | 76¢ | 89.5¢ | $47 | +$7.13 | +$65 | |
| Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? | No | 50 | 47¢ | 88¢ | $44 | +$21 | $0 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 147 | 34¢ | 29.5¢ | $43 | −$6.62 | $0 | |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by December 31? | Yes | 100 | 61¢ | 40.5¢ | $41 | −$21 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28? | No | 77 | 55¢ | 52.5¢ | $40 | −$1.92 | +$0.38 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 40 | 89¢ | 95.3¢ | $38 | +$2.50 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 22? | No | 70 | 30.5¢ | 45.5¢ | $32 | +$11 | +$4.25 | |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 94 | 32¢ | 32.5¢ | $30 | +$0.47 | $0 | |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | No | 63 | 18¢ | 39¢ | $25 | +$13 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? | Yes | 173 | 10¢ | 12.5¢ | $22 | +$4.32 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat? | Yes | 50 | 35¢ | 40.5¢ | $20 | +$2.75 | $0 | |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 87 | 23¢ | 22.5¢ | $20 | −$0.43 | −$74 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 31? | No | 91 | 22¢ | 21.5¢ | $20 | −$0.45 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 28? | No | 105 | 19¢ | 18.5¢ | $19 | −$0.53 | $0 | |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027? | Yes | 138 | 22.8¢ | 11.5¢ | $16 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | 187 | 8¢ | 7.5¢ | $14 | −$1.01 | $0 | |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31? | Yes | 18 | 57¢ | 68¢ | $12 | +$1.93 | $0 | |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24? | No | 36 | 39.3¢ | 29.5¢ | $11 | −$3.58 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kaitlan Collins by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | 25¢ | 10.4¢ | $10 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by December 31? | No | 10 | 80¢ | 90.5¢ | $8.75 | +$1.02 | +$6.41 | |
| Iran leadership change by October 31? | Yes | 500 | 5¢ | 1.6¢ | $8.00 | −$17 | $0 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 6 | 85¢ | 96.6¢ | $5.68 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? | Yes | 350 | 8.6¢ | 1.6¢ | $5.42 | −$25 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 10%-15%? | Yes | 19 | 26¢ | 26¢ | $5.00 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5%-10%? | Yes | 20 | 24¢ | 23.5¢ | $4.70 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the VA-02 House seat? | Yes | 28 | 18¢ | 12.5¢ | $3.47 | −$1.53 | $0 | |
| Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | 5 | 62¢ | 65¢ | $3.42 | +$0.16 | $0 | |
| Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 223+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | 300 | 0.3¢ | 0.7¢ | $2.10 | +$1.24 | $0 | |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3,333 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on September 3? | No | 2,396 | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$230 | +$12 | |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 2,375 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$62 | −$0.89 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 2,100 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | −$168 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | +$14 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14? | Yes | 1,953 | 3.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$70 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | No | 1,869 | 5.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$97 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 1,753 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 1,667 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$150 | −$20 | |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | No | 1,470 | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 1,423 | 5.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31? | No | 1,370 | 24.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$330 | $0 | |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? | No | 1,337 | 13.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$185 | −$0.26 | |
| US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | No | 1,150 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20? | No | 1,067 | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party? | Yes | 1,009 | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$382 | −$8.87 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026? | No | 980 | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$597 | −$6.67 | |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | Yes | 922 | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026? | No | 812 | 25.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$210 | $0 | |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026? | Yes | 787 | 12.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026? | No | 745 | 55.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$413 | −$84 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | No | 727 | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$207 | $0 | |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 718 | 8.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$61 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 700 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$105 | +$14 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 607 | 31.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$192 | −$18 | |
| Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 591 | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$85 | $0 | |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? | No | 575 | 72.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$419 | −$0.56 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | No | 551 | 7.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$44 | −$57 | |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | No | 513 | 8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$41 | −$1.50 | |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Yes | 500 | 4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20 | $0 | |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | No | 500 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$165 | $0 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | No | 500 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$35 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 14, 2026? | Yes | 500 | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10 | $0 | |
| Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 495 | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.46 | −$0.26 | |
| Will Haley Stevens win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? | Yes | 455 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.00 | −$0.12 | |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 434 | 7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$30 | −$1.07 | |
| Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | Yes | 399 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.30 | −$0.09 | |
| Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | No | 376 | 26.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$99 | +$40 | |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Yes | 368 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.00 | $0 | |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 9? | No | 333 | 4.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | 321 | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$11 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 19, 2026? | Yes | 311 | 10.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$33 | +$17 | |
| Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026? | No | 311 | 33¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$103 | +$28 | |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | No | 300 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | 300 | 10.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$32 | −$1.14 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 30, 2026? | Yes | 300 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15 | $0 | |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | Yes | 297 | 15¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$45 | $0 | |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | Yes | 294 | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | +$2.63 | |
| Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee? | Yes | 287 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7.00 | $0 | |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? | No | 283 | 20¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$57 | −$30 | |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%? | Yes | 270 | 9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$24 | −$0.07 | |
